Wednesday, February 29

Kodak (camera) moments are coming to an end

Kodak (camera) moments are coming to an end
Guy Solimano / Getty Images


Eastman Kodak's corporate headqaurters in Rochester, N.Y.


By msnbc.com staff and wire


The company that invented home photography has tossed in the towel on it.


Eastman Kodak, the bankrupt inventor of the hand-held camera, plans to stop making digital cameras, pocket video cameras and digital picture frames in the first half of 2012 in a bid to cut costs.


The decision marks the end of an era for Kodak, which filed for bankruptcy protection last month and is seen as one of the biggest corporate casualties of the digital age, after it failed to quickly embrace modern technologies such as digital photography, a product that it also invented.


Mark Kaufman, an investment consultant at MLK Investment Management, isn’t surprised by the move. He points out that since the company made it known that it wanted to sell its patents to commercial technology it doesn’t make sense for Kodak to stay in that business.


“They never really made money on cameras,” he said. “They made money on licensing the technology to third parties.”


Commercial printing technology makes up around 70 percent of Kodak’s business now, Kaufman added, and in that area they have a chance to capture a growing overseas market, especially given Kodak’s new high-speed printing system that generates 90 million pages per month.


“This business has been losing money for them, mainly because U.S. printers have been slow to adopt it, but there is a big potential overseas,” he said, noting that printers in places like India and Eastern Europe where growth is strong and the existing print machinery is antiquated and in need of modernization.


Kodak said Thursday that its plan to stop making cameras and frames would mean “significant” job losses at the business, which employs 400 people, mostly in Rochester, N.Y.


Kodak will take a charge of about $30 million to leave the business. It expects the exit to generate more than $100 million in annual operating savings. The charge does not include additional costs that Kodak expects to incur for items such ending manufacturing contracts with overseas companies that make its products.


Reuters contributed to this report.

Tuesday, February 28

Europe may shake up Wall Street's quiet week

NEW YORK — Europe will again be at the center of investors' focus this week as the U.S. earnings season passes the halfway mark and there is little on the economic calendar to give the market direction.


Economic data expected this week includes weekly initial jobless claims, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index and international trade figures.


Improving data helped push the S&P 500 index up nearly 7 percent for the year, highlighted by Friday's stronger-than-expected jobs report.


"It's the old ping-pong game. Today it is the U.S., tomorrow it is Europe again," said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.


"Normally in this type of tape when there is no economic news, it seems like the bias goes to the upside." But whether European bond yields spike or other news from Europe emerges will be the wild card for the markets, Saluzzi said.


Greece remains at the forefront of the euro zone crisis as the government struggles for agreement on fiscal reforms that would be accepted by political leaders and private bondholders as it tries to avoid a disorderly default.


Talks on a bond swap and 130 billion euros in bailout funds have been continuing for weeks before a March deadline when 14.5 billion euros of bonds come due. Hopes that a deal was on the horizon dissipated on Friday as euro zone finance ministers delayed a meeting scheduled for Monday.


"There is always the chance in brinkmanship -- which is what is being played here — that you have a dangerous outcome if the pieces don't come together," said Paul Mendelsohn, chief investment strategist at Windham Financial Services in Charlotte, Vermont.


"They have until March 19. They are going to keep pushing this thing until everybody gets the best deal they can out of it or they decide not to move forward and let Greece go. It's always a possibility at the end of the game."


The flood of earnings reports will slow this week. Some 66 S&P 500 companies are expected to report, including Walt Disney Co, Coca-Cola Co and Cisco Systems Inc. NYSE Euronext is also due to report results after the exchange terminated merger plans with Deutsche Boerse on Thursday.


Through Friday, 283 companies in the S&P 500 have reported results, with 60 percent posting earnings that have topped Wall Street expectations, a lower percentage than seen in recent quarters through this stage of the reporting season.


The payrolls report on Friday helped lift the S&P 500 1.5 percent to 1,344.90, past a recent resistance point of 1,325, which the benchmark index had failed to pass on several occasions recently. Analysts said the resistance level could now serve as support, with 1,350 representing a new resistance point for equities.


But even with the gains sparked by the payrolls report, a lack of volume remains a troubling sign, one which could be alleviated by a resolution of the Greek question.


"The (payrolls) news is great but you are not getting a ton of volume, so you still get some skepticism," said Ken Polcari, managing director at ICAP Equities in New York.


"It is going to be slow to get these people back. Ultimately I still think the large asset managers are waiting for a Greece decision because no matter what, the market will pull back and that is when they will jump in."


Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters.

Monday, February 27

Bernanke warns of threat to economy from Europe

Bernanke warns of threat to economy from Europe

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke discusses his outlook on the economy, noting a sluggish labor market and increasing debt risking, producing serious economic consequences.

Yuri Gripas / Reuters


U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke arrives to testify at the House Budget committee hearing on the state of the Economy on Capitol Hill in Washington February 2, 2012.


By Martin Crutsinger, Associated Press


WASHINGTON — Ben Bernanke defended the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates at record-low levels for the next three years, during a contentious hearing before federal lawmakers.


The Fed chief told the House Budget Committee Thursday that the central bank's plan is an appropriate step to combat high unemployment while inflation is stable.


Bernanke was challenged immediately on the issue by the panel's chairman, Paul Ryan, a Wisconsin Republican, who said the Fed's move would risk higher inflation and hurt growth.


"I think this policy runs the great risk of fueling asset bubbles, destabilizing prices and eventually eroding the value of the dollar," Ryan told Bernanke. "The prospect of all three is adding to uncertainty and holding our economy back."


Bernanke disagreed. He said prices have stabilized since spiking in early 2011 and the dollar has shown no signs of weakening.


The Federal Reserve chairman testified one week after the Fed signaled that a full recovery could take at least three more years. As a result, the Fed said it doesn't plan to raise its benchmark interest rate from a record low before late 2014 at the earliest.


The questions from lawmakers covered a range of topics, from Europe's debt crisis to the surging federal deficit.


Bernanke didn't stray far from remarks he made last week after the Fed's policy meeting. He said the economy has shown improvement, but that the pace has been frustratingly slow. He noted that many threats remain, including Europe's debt crisis and the nation's rising debt.


"We still have a long way to go before the labor market can be said to be operating normally," Bernanke told the committee.


Bernanke generally received praise from Democrats, while Republicans were more critical.


One member even accused Bernanke and the Fed of overstepping their authority.


Rep. Scott Garrett, a New Jersey Republican, said the Fed ventured into Congress's territory when it issued a white paper last month exploring proposals to rescue the troubled housing market. He compared the action to lawmakers approving a resolution instructing the Fed on monetary policy — the Fed's use of interest rates to try to boost or slow the economy.


"I was taken aback when the Fed issued an unsolicited white paper on housing policy and it mirrored in many ways the administration's policies on housing," Garrett, scolded Bernanke.


Bernanke apologized if Garrett felt the Fed went too far. He said that the weak housing sector was holding back overall growth and that this was of great concern for the Fed. He said the central bank did not endorse any actions but instead just explored various policy options.


"We were trying to provide pros and cons," Bernanke said.


Still, much of the morning was spent debating the Fed's policies.


Ryan criticized the Fed's decision to establish an annual inflation target of 2 percent. He said Bernanke seemed willing to accept higher inflation in order to get lower unemployment.


Bernanke said the Fed would not waiver in its efforts to maintain low inflation, believing that provided the best framework for full employment.


Rep. Diane Black said the Fed wasn't showing enough concern about the impact low interest rates were having on people who keep their money in conservative investments, such as savings accounts and CDs.


The interest on those investments hasn't kept pace with inflation.


Bernanke said the Fed was trying to get the weak economy moving and that raising interest rates could trigger a recession, which would hurt all investors.


A few questions touched on transcripts released last month that showed the Fed was slow to recognize the severity of the housing crisis in 2006. Bernanke said the Fed had learned a lot of lessons since then.


"While I can never promise that we will not have another financial crisis, I think we have made a lot of progress in how we monitor financial situations," he told the lawmakers.


Bernanke urged lawmakers to balance their desire to cut deficits with policies that could help boost the weak U.S. economy in the short run.


Earlier this week, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that the deficit will top $1 trillion for a fourth straight year and could stay around that level for years.


A key reason the deficit has surged in the past four years is that the government collected less tax revenue. In part, that's because the economy has yet to regain the millions of jobs lost during the Great Recession.

Sunday, February 26

Groupon surprises by failing to net a profit

Groupon surprises by failing to net a profit

Groupon employees celebrate the company's IPO last November.


By msnbc.com staff and wire


Groupon has surprised Wall Street by failing to make a profit since becoming a publicly-traded company in late 2011.


The daily deals website’s first earnings report has revealed its saw a fourth-quarter net loss of $42.7 million. That’s better than one year ago, when it saw a loss of $378.6 million, but still disappointing to analysts who had expected a small profit.


Groupon shares fell sharply on the news.


Earnings were dented by a huge tax bill worth $35 million following the opening of an international headquarters in Switzerland, the company said.


While the tax bill caught Wall Street's eye, analysts were more unsettled by signs that Groupon's breakneck pace of growth from recent quarters may be slowing, especially in North America, its most mature market.


Several other new technology companies have gone public in recent months, including Zynga, Pandora and LinkedIn. Some analysts have raised questions about the viability of these companies.


Social media giant Facebook filed documents last week for a $5 billion initial public offering of stock that’s expected to be one of the biggest and most talked about share offerings in recent memory.


Reuters contributed to this report.

Saturday, February 25

Jobless claims drop to almost a four-year low

The U.S. labor market got another jolt of good news Thursday when the government reported new claims for jobless benefits dropped to almost the lowest they have been in four years.


The Labor Department said seasonally adjusted claims dropped by 15,000 to 358,000 in the week ended Feb. 4. That's the second lowest level since April 2008, before the financial crisis that sent the U.S. economy into its worst recession since the Great Depression.


The four-week moving average, considered a more accurate reading of the health of the job market, dropped 11,000 to 366,250, also the lowest since April 2008.


"It's great news. Claims continue to look better every week, every month ... the headline number is great," said Frank Lesh, Futures Analyst and broker at Futurepath Trading LLC.


Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims rising to 370,000. The claims data pointed to building strength in the labor market. The economy has had two straight months of job gains above 200,000 and the unemployment rate dropped to a three-year low of 8.3 percent in January.


Solid employment gains and strong manufacturing activity have prompted analysts to temper their expectations of a sharp slowdown in growth in the first quarter after a brisk 2.8 percent annual pace in the final three months of 2011.


The upbeat data have raised doubts about the Federal Reserve's expectation that it could hold interest rates near zero at least through late 2014 and reduced the odds of a third round of bond buying to spur the recovery.


Last week's decline in both new applications for jobless benefits and the four-week average pushed them closer to the 350,000 mark that economists say would signal sustained labor market strength.


Despite the continued improvement, the labor market recovery still has a long away to go. The number of people still receiving benefits under regular state programs after an initial week of aid rose 64,000 to 3.52 million in the week ended January 28. 


Reuters and The Associated Press contributed to this report. 

Friday, February 24

Engineer who gave Obama resume still jobless

A Fort Worth semiconductor engineer who sent his resume to the president after a social media chat is still looking for work.


Darin Wedel, who was laid off three years ago, has turned down several job offers since sending his resume to the White House because the jobs were not located in North Texas.


President Barack Obama asked for his resume when his wife asked in a Google+ chat why the federal government continued to issue H-1B visas to foreign workers when people such as her husband could not find a job.


The exchange attracted national attention.


Jennifer Wedel said her husband has gotten calls from around the United States. The White House contacted some of the companies on the Wedels' behalf, she said.


"We had the head guy from Intel call us and basically said, 'If you move to New York, we'll get you a job.' ... It kind of gets me teary-eyed, because I wish we could," Jennifer Wedel said.


Darin Wedel turned down the offer from Intel as well as three other out-of-state jobs and one in Austin because his custody agreement does not allow him to move away from his daughter's mother, who lives in the area.


The couple said they knew their options might be limited when Darin Wedel was laid off. They said they are not frustrated and are incredibly thankful for the interest.


And Darin Wedel has a local lead — a job interview next week in Corinth.


In a Google+ hangout on Jan. 30, Jennifer Wedel asked Obama about the country's H-1B visa program.


The visa allows employers to temporarily hire a limited number of foreign workers in certain occupations, including science, engineering, medicine and the arts. The jobs generally require specialized knowledge.


When Darin Wedel was laid off in 2008, Texas Instruments had some H-1B workers.


Wedel told The Washington Post he was laid off because of a plant closing.


His wife, an insurance agent at State Farm, said she has found herself as a sort of spokeswoman working to make it so Americans have the first chance to get a job before foreign workers.


She said people from all over the country have reached out to her and told her stories similar to her husband's.


"I have clients who are struggling to pay their insurance bills because they have gotten laid off, and a number of those have been in the same industry that my husband is in," she said.


U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, emailed her Wednesday morning and told her that he is going to try to breathe new life into a proposal to modify the H-1B visa program.


Grassley said he and Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Illinois, tried to pass a measure in 2009 that would require employers to make a reasonable effort to recruit Americans for jobs before they could hire H-1B workers.


Jennifer Wedel said she and her husband are humbled that their experience is bringing attention to the issue.


"I think it is fulfilling," she said. "I think it will be more fulfilling when we see change."

Greek leaders agree on austerity pact for bailout

Greek political leaders have reached a deal with EU and IMF lenders on reforms required in return for a new bailout, the office of Prime Minister Lucas Papademos said in a statement on Thursday.


"The consultations between the government and the troika on the issue which remained open for further discussion were successfully completed this morning. The political leaders agreed on the outcome of these talks," Papademos' office said in a statement.


"There is broad agreement on the content of the new programme ahead of today's Eurogroup meeting," the statement said.


Financial markets have been awaiting the deal which would allow Greece to avoid a disorderly default that could disrupt global markets.


Earlier, a spokeswoman for the office of Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos said the agreement with the majority Socialists and the conservatives will allow alternative cuts to those rejected early Thursday during a meeting of the three coalition party leaders.


She spoke on a customary condition of anonymity.


Although all the other cuts demanded by Greece's eurozone partners and the International Monetary Fund were approved, party leaders had balked at new pension cuts.


Reuters and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Thursday, February 23

Postal Service posts $3.3 billion loss

The U.S. Postal Service reported quarterly losses of $3.3 billion, and says that at the rate it's going, it will run out of money by October.


The agency was hurt by declining mail volume and mounting costs for future retiree health benefits.


From October through December of 2011, losses were $3 billion more than during the same period in 2010 — even though the final quarter is typically the strongest, due to increased holiday shipping.


Postmaster General Patrick Donahoe is warning of a possible suspension in postal operations this fall unless Congress acts to address long-term money problems.


He wants new leeway to eliminate Saturday mail delivery, raise stamp prices and reduce health and other labor costs.


The Associated Press contributed to this report. 

Wednesday, February 22

Online dating: the science of love at first byte

Online dating sites advertise groundbreaking technology and sophisticated formulas and state-of-the-art programming to help you find your true soul mate.


But does it work?


Though the technology found its own match with the rise of the Internet, the idea has been around for half a century. In 1965, a pair of University of Michigan undergrads found each other with the help of a primitive computer dating program.


Mina Jo Rosenbloom was in her junior year when she and Michael Linver, just admitted to medical school, became computer dating’s digital Adam and Eve. She didn’t have much faith that it would work. He came across a crazy ad for a dating service that used computers. Their mutual willingness to take a chance paid off.


Four and a half decades after they were hitched by an IBM mainframe, Michael and Mina Jo Linver are still married.


“That was the beginning of what turned out to be an incredible relationship for the rest of my life,” he said.


It was also the start of an industry designed to exploit a market: millions of singles eager – or desperate – to find a match. Punch cards and personal ads gave way to the first online dating sites, launched in the mid-90s. By 2001, industry revenues were just $40 million. Today, they’re approaching $2 billion.


With some 1,500 sites claiming they can match your personality type, your genes – even your facial structure - to potential mates, no company touts a “formula for success” as much as eHarmony, which owns 15 percent of the market.


The company says the goal is to help you find someone - like you.


Similarity is the thing that allows couples to understand each other better, said Gian Gonzaga, the company’s chief research scientist, who holds a Ph.D. in psychology from U.C. Berkeley. “We like to say that opposites attract and then later on they attack.”


Marriage-minded and straight-laced
At eHarmony, Gonzaga said he focuses on appealing to the marriage-minded and the straight-laced.


“We’ve always focused on long-term relationships,” he said. “That feels very unhip and very squarish. But really, when it comes down to it, our desire to find someone to connect with, to find a long-term relationship is a very deep part of our psyche.”


Long before the conversation turns to matrimony, finding your online match takes commitment. Subscribers fill out a compatibility survey with hundreds of questions and pay as much as $60 a month. The results, according to eHarmony’s claims, are striking.


“On average, 542 people a day got married after meeting on eHarmony,” said Gonzaga. “That’s about 5 percent of all of the newlyweds in the population. It's almost 100,000 couples a year.”


Those numbers are hard to substantiate. But they do include Steve Caplette, who was overcome with emotion on the day he wed Sally Petruzello. For her part, it was love at first click.


“He was my first match,” she said. “You usually get seven people, and he was literally the first one that I opened up.”


Among other compatible traits, eHarmony found that Steve and Sally both tend to be more introverted, have strong anger management skills, and a sense of romance. eHarmony’s algorithm worked for Steve and Sally. But it’s not at all clear that kind of success is typical.


“I think it's fair to say that we know a little, but we probably don't know enough to have an algorithm that we think is really good,” said Dan Ariely, a professor of psychology and behavioral economics at Duke University. “If you look demographically it doesn't look like they're increasing the amount of marriages.


CNBC: Love at First Byte


Ariely questions whether algorithms used by online dating sites actually work. His research was sparked by a profoundly personal understanding of the nature of human attraction. In his late teens, he was hospitalized for three years with a bad burn injury as he healed, he worried that his value in the dating market had plummeted.


“I knew my place in the social hierarchy before I got burned,” he said. “I knew which girls would date me in principle and which ones would not. And I started thinking about where do I fit in, where do I fit in now?


Ariely eventually fit in as an expert on human behavior. He studied thousands of online interactions, examining market value — what makes us attractive online. In men, the research shows, height and salary are key. Ariely said that a 5-foot, 9-inch tall man like himself would need to add another $40,000 a year to his annual income to hold the same attraction as another guy who stands 5'10".


Education also counts - for some online daters.


“More educated men are more desirable,” said Ariely. “For women, there's no value for education. Women who are more educated don't necessarily get any more attractive in online dating.”


For some singles, the idea of reducing romantic attraction to an algorithm may seem too simplistic. But Ariely says the problem is the simplistic way sites make us describe ourselves, using attributes that are easily searchable by computer but aren’t so useful in figuring out who we like or love.


“The (online) description is very skeleton-like,” he said. “We fill the gap in over-optimistic ways. And then you go and meet them for coffee, there's a gap between what you built in your mind and between what they really are. And that gap causes tremendous disappointment.”


That doesn’t make for an auspicious start, especially since, according to Ariely, setting up each of those cups of coffee takes an average six hours of online drudgery.


'Tyranny of choice'
To solve the paralyzing problem of too many possibilities, which scientists call “the tyranny of choice,” online matchmaker eHarmony doesn’t let you browse its database. They let their computers do the searching and sorting for you.


“Imagine you walk into a stadium, and you see tens of thousands of people and you say, 'I wish I could go on a date tonight,” said Joseph Essas, eHarmony’s technology chief. “So you look at all those tens of thousands of people, what are you going to do? It's overwhelming.”


Instead, eHarmony’s algorithm doles out just a few matches per customer per day. Then it’s your turn. Computers are not good with emotions and feelings, said Essas. But they’re very good at finding needles in a haystack.


And eHarmony claims to have a big haystack – but it’s not exactly clear just how big. At one point the company claimed some 40 million registered users. Some industry analysts say the pool of active users is more like 750,000.


A percentage of the daters who appear on eHarmony—and other dating sites—are not even paying subscribers, leading one critic to say that many users are, “flirting into the void.” Still, eHarmony is doing a number of things well, according to Dan Ariely.


“First of all, they have this million-question survey,” he said. “By doing that they basically kind of separate the serious people from the non-serious people. On top of that they create this belief in their algorithm. And they say, ‘look, we have some magic potion here.’ “


That may have a self-fulfilling effect on customers, but it hasn’t convinced Ariely that online dating companies are using hard science.


“The truth is, we're very far away, in the science part, from understanding how this works,” he said.


For some, the proof is in the pudding. After forty-four years of marriage, three children, and six grandchildren, Michael and Mina Jo Linver are still grateful for that mainframe with a heart.


“The rest is the magic, the mystic kind of elements that attract people to each other,” said Michael. “And that's something that I don't think any computer can really do. It just either happens or it doesn’t.


© 2012 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

Tuesday, February 21

Samsung plans to launch low-end TVs

SEOUL — Samsung Electronics Co, the world's top television manufacturer, has seen TV sales firming up so far this year and plans to introduce cheaper TVs, as demand for lower-end models increase, the head of its TV business said on Wednesday.


Demand for lower-end TVs has been on the rise in recent months as major South Korean retailers such as E-Mart Co introduced flat-screen models that are as much as 40 percent cheaper through alliances with small local manufacturers.


"As long as there's demand, we're open to get into that segment," Kim Hyun-suk, executive vice president of Samsung's visual display division, told reporters.


"We've been preparing to introduce cheap models and have been studying to optimize production costs and retail prices. Those (cheap) models will be ready for sale in one or two months."


Samsung, the most profitable TV maker, also introduced on Wednesday its highest-end premium set that it hopes will help boost profitability, as a fragile global economy threatens to sap demand growth this year after no growth in 2010.


The ES8000 model has voice, motion and face recognition functions, as well as 3D and Internet-enabled capabilities. The models, available in sizes of between 46 and 65 inches, will go on sale from this weekend in South Korea before a global launch in March.


Kim said Samsung's TV sales so far this year have been stronger than a year ago and demand from China remained solid.


Grappling with slowing demand and cut-throat competition, global TV manufacturers are hoping again that premium products with slimmer designs, powerful chipsets and crisp displays will revive growth this year.


Samsung has gained market share in recent years from the traditional TV majors such as Sony Corp, Panasonic Corp and Sharp Corp which have struggled with a soaring Japanese yen and less competitive product line-ups.


Together, Panasonic, Sony and Sharp expect to lose $17 billion this year, highlighting the saving of Japan's electronics industry by foreign rivals like Samsung, weak demand and a strong yen.


Still Japan remains the sole market where Samsung has failed to gain traction in TVs and Samsung said on Wednesday it will further review business feasibility before deciding to get into the market.


Samsung, which sold around 43 million flat-screen TVs last year, aims to sell 50 million TVs this year with half the shipments Internet-enabled.


Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters.

Monday, February 20

Jobless want you to quit already!

Even though some employees are frustrated with their jobs because the tough economy has led to furloughs, wage freezes, and cuts in benefits, many of them aren’t upset enough to say, “I quit!”


More workers are reluctant to leave their employer and it’s shrinking job opportunities for the unemployed , underemployed and those looking to find new work horizons, according to an article in the Wall Street Journal Wednesday. Turns out, some workers are just too scared to take a chance on a new gig in this job market.


U.S. Labor Department statistics showed that less than 2 million workers quit their jobs last month. That’s way less than the three million, on average, that did so before the Great Recession.


With fewer workers heading out the door, there’s less churning in the work market. That churning is what’s keeping the number of job openings at low levels, said Steven Davis, a University of Chicago economist quoted in the Journal's story.


“For workers who are unemployed, if there’s less churning of jobs, it’s harder to get on the merry-go-round,” he maintained. “There’s just fewer openings arising.”


Even though the unemployment rate dipped to 8.3 percent last month, there were still nearly 13 million jobless searching for work, and the number of discouraged workers, or workers who gave up looking, topped 1 million.


It’s hard to blame people from getting discouraged, especially if people are refusing to leave their present gigs in such high numbers.


According to the Labor Department’s data, the number of you exiting your gigs bottomed out in 2010. “The 2007-2008 recession was longer and deeper, but more than one-and-a-half years after it ended, the quite rate has yet to rebound significantly,” the Journal article stated.


But is it skittishness over the dismal job market what’s got many of workers staying put?


One study released yesterday shows they may just like their job too much to leave. Regus, a workplace efficiency firm, surveyed more than 5,000 employees in the United States and found over 64 percent are enjoying their current jobs more than they were two years ago this month.


According to the poll: "Workers in Austin, TX; Portland, OR and Chicago, IL, where the burgeoning technology industry and local economies have responded better to last year's economic tumult, are more in love with their jobs than their peers in New York, NY and Charlotte, NC; where the financial and banking sectors have been slower to recover.”


One group that is seeing some churn is the corner-office set. Last month, there was a surge in the number of CEOs leaving their firms, with a total of 123 leaving, a study by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, an outplacement firm, found.


So, what’s your career story? Why haven’t you quit your job? 

Sunday, February 19

Big exchanges to battle for Facebook’s stock

By msnbc.com news services


When Facebook goes public in a few months, will the social media giant decide to list its stock on the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq?


Given that stocks listed on the Nasdaq also trade NYSE, and NYSE-listed companies trade on the Nasdaq, the question is somewhat moot.


What’s more important is the image the company will project with its listing decision. By choosing the tech-heavy Nasdaq, it might be aiming to attract investors interested in the likes of Apple, Amazon.com or Google. If it wants to project a more blue-chip image, like that of a Microsoft or Intel, it may choose the NYSE.


Another important consideration is listing fees, according to CNBC’s Kayla Tausche. The NYSE charges an initial $250,000 and an annual fee for trading of as much as $500,000, Tausche said, while the Nasdaq asks for $225,000 up front and as much as $99,500 annually.


Both exchanges will be doing all they can to woo one of the most talked about IPOs in recent memory, Tausche reports.


The Wall Street Journal reported Monday that online-review compiler Yelp has opted to list its stock on the NYSE. Last year, the Big Board grabbed new tech listings LinkedIn and Pandora, while archrival Nasdaq managed to acquire the listings for Zillow, Groupon and Zynga, the paper said.

Saturday, February 18

Greece plays game of chicken over bailout

ATHENS — Greece let yet another deadline slip on Monday for responding to painful terms for a new EU/IMF bailout as patience in Brussels wore thin over drawn-out negotiations among its feuding political leaders.


Failure to strike a deal to secure the 130 billion euro ($170 billion) rescue risks pushing Athens into a chaotic debt default which could threaten its future in the euro zone.


Panos Beglitis, spokesman of the PASOK socialist party, said on Sunday that leaders of the three parties backing technocrat Prime Minister Lucas Papademos' government had to give their responses in principle by noon (5 a.m. ET).


However, a government official denied that the parties had been given an ultimatum to respond on Monday.


Asked whether the parties had to respond in time for a Euro Working Group meeting of finance ministry officials in Brussels, the Greek official said: "No, there is no deadline."


He said the entire Greek side had to agree terms of the rescue, which would be the second for Athens since 2010, with international lenders before the next meeting of the Eurogroup of euro zone finance ministers.


"The only deadline is to have a staff agreement for the second bailout and the agreement of the political leaders before Eurogroup," said the official, who requested anonymity.


No date has yet been set for the Eurogroup meeting, although it is expected this week.


In Brussels, frustrated EU officials said Greece was already in "overtime" after failing to clinch an agreement at the weekend on a package including wage and pension reductions, job cuts and tougher tax enforcement measures.


"It will be very bad if there is no white smoke from Athens today," said one euro zone government source.


"We have already missed deadlines. In order to prepare the fresh tranche of money and reschedule debt in the first half of March, a whole series of technical steps must be taken. We need a decision now to put the mechanism of rescheduling in place."


Beglitis said the deadline had merely slipped to Tuesday due to the changing timetable of euro zone meetings.


Leaders of PASOK, the conservative New Democracy and the far-right LAOS party - who may face an angry electorate in parliamentary polls as soon as April - still have to agree on unresolved problems.


These include labor market reform and shoring up domestic banks. Greece needs the bailout money by March to meet big debt repayments but tempers are rising in the European Union over what it sees as Greek dithering on implementing reforms.


Bank hopes
Papademos said after five hours of talks on Sunday that party chiefs had agreed measures including wage cuts and other reforms as part of spending cuts worth 1.5 percent of gross domestic product.


Hopes rose on Monday that they had also made progress on recapitalizing domestic banks, which are up to their necks in Greek government bonds now worth a fraction of their face value.


Greek bank stocks were up 8.8 percent at midday on hopes that lenders would be recapitalized without being nationalized after a debt swap under the latest bailout deal, which will radically cut the value of their bond holdings.


"Banks are concerned with the way they will be recapitalized, so that they remain independent ... It seems it will be done through a combination of instruments, which will reduce the risk of their nationalization," said Natasha Roumantzi, head of analysis at Piraeus Securities.


The euro fell broadly on investor concern that the parties had yet to sign off on the terms of a new bailout with a deadline imminent, keeping alive the risk of a messy default which could rock the currency bloc. The single currency slid by 0.6 percent to stand at $1.3070.


Talks on the bailout have dragged on for weeks.


Worn down
Greeks have been worn down by a deep recession, now in its fifth year, and wave after wave of austerity measures imposed under the first bailout.


Alarmed by the prospect of yet more budget cuts, Greece's two main trade unions said they would call a 24-hour strike for Tuesday in protest against policies they say have only driven the economy into a downward spiral.


"Despite our sacrifices and despite admitting that the policy mix is wrong, they still ask for more austerity," Ilias Iliopoulos, secretary general of public sector union ADEDY, told Reuters.


ADEDY and its private sector sister union GSEE, which will join Tuesday's strike, represent about 2 million workers or roughly half the country's workforce.


Leftist and communist-affiliated groups will rally at around 11 a.m. ET on Monday to march to parliament.


With Greece facing 14.5 billion euros of debt repayments in March, a bill it cannot meet without further bailout funds, the stakes could not be higher.


Officials have emerged increasingly despondent after each round of talks, complaining that the troika of European Central Bank, European Commission and International Monetary Fund was refusing to yield on demands to cut the minimum wage, axe holiday bonuses and fire public sector workers.


New Democracy and LAOS in particular have staunchly opposed further wage and spending cuts, arguing they risk precipitating an even deeper recession and imposing more pain on Greeks.


The slow progress has angered Greece's European partners. Euro zone officials say finance ministers told Greece on Saturday it could not go ahead with an agreed deal to restructure privately held debt until it guaranteed it would implement reforms.


"There is a great sense of frustration that they are dragging their feet," one euro zone official said.


Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters.

Friday, February 17

Good job news met with optimism, skepticism

WASHINGTON — Month by month, the U.S. job market is regaining its health.


So many jobs are being added that the unemployment rate has dropped for five straight months. At 8.3 percent, it's at a three-year low.


Whether the job market actually feels stronger, though, depends on your perspective.


The headline numbers mask vast disparities — from the New Yorker thrilled to have found a catering job to the Indianapolis truck driver forced to take a 40 percent pay cut to work again.


Even where hiring has picked up, scars from the Great Recession remain. In Fort Madison, Iowa, Pinnacle Foods Group is expanding a canned-meat plant and adding 65 jobs. Yet that same work used to be done at a company plant in Tacoma, Wash., that once employed 160 but has since closed.


A government report Friday that employers added a surprising 243,000 jobs in January ignited cheers for the job market, which had been slow to recover in the 2? years since the recession officially ended. Many economists see signs of a self-fulfilling "virtuous cycle," in which more jobs fuel more consumer spending, which sparks further hiring and spending and more jobs.


The presidential election is sure to be determined, in part, by how Americans interpret the shifts in the job market.


Here's how things look to employers, job seekers and analysts with varying views of the job market:


The relieved and the hopeful
Robb Stiffler landed a job two weeks ago at Crown College, a liberal arts college in St. Bonifacius, Minn. He makes sure rooms are available and set up for school events. Stiffler used to run his own company selling paint sprayers. But the housing bust put him out of business.


Then, in nine months in real estate, he sold one house. At first, he lived off his credit cards. Then it was unemployment benefits.


He was elated to get the Crown job, his first to provide a retirement plan. Unemployment, he says, "was agony."


Vaughan-Bassett Furniture Co. is opening a plant in Galax, Va., near the North Carolina border. It expects to hire 50 workers by July and perhaps 65 more over the next year or two.


January's buoyant national job numbers "play right into what we have already sensed and begun to act on," says Doug Bassett, the chief operating officer.


The company's revenue has risen 20 percent in the past two months compared with the same period a year earlier. Vaughan-Bassett credits an improving economy, rising interest in U.S.-made products and higher prices on Chinese imports it competes with.


Across the country, Ancestry.com, which helps track family lineage, expects to add 150 employees this year — if it can find them.


The company, based in Provo, Utah, must compete with technology firms for engineers with expertise in artificial intelligence and in handling mountains of data (30 million family trees in Ancestry's case).


"It's only gotten harder" to find qualified applicants as the job market has improved, says Eric Shoup, senior vice president. "The likes of Google, Zynga, Facebook and others are also growing. They are soaking these people up."


James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management, says the stock market's celebration of Friday's jobs report was another step in reversing Americans' economic pessimism.


"For me, the takeaway isn't so much about the healing of the job market as it is about the beginning of an attitude adjustment for this country," Paulsen said.


Michael Biggers of Brooklyn, N.Y., was happy to land a job recently at a catering company.


The job hunt took four months. Unemployment benefits helped pay the bills. And his four kids, ages 3 to 12, loved having him home. Biggers, 32, just wishes he didn't have to apply for jobs online.


"I feel like I would have found something faster if I met with a person face to face," Biggers says. "I'm just confident about me."


Perhaps no one has more reason to applaud the improving job numbers than President Barack Obama. His re-election hopes rest heavily on whether most voters will agree that the economy has improved on his watch.


"The recovery is speeding up," Obama said after the January employment report was released.


The cautious and the skeptical
In a few weeks, entrepreneur Joe Wong will open a restaurant overseeing the Sacramento River in Redding, Calif. The eatery, View 202, will employ 100.


But Wong, president of J&A Food Service, isn't convinced the economy is improving. He knows he'll have to keep menu prices down to attract the budget-conscious. Unemployment still exceeds 11 percent in Redding.


"We'll probably have 1,000 apply" for jobs, Wong says. The January jobs report is "going to get everybody excited. But we've heard it before. It just comes back down."


Farther south, the economy is only starting to improve in California's Riverside and San Bernardino counties, an area that was clobbered when housing prices plunged.


"We still have large numbers of foreclosures on the books, and property values and sales taxes are also lagging behind projections," says Tom Freeman, a Riverside County commissioner.


At least, Freeman says, businesses that sell goods overseas have been a bright spot.


In downtown Indianapolis, Windsor Jewelry hired a part-time worker for the holidays, then made him full-time as demand held up. Owner Greg Bires says he might hire another person this year. Business is a little steadier now.


Still, rising gold prices have pinched the company.


"That's been the biggest problem — just not knowing what tomorrow was going to bring," Bires says. "So we've been kind of afraid to make any major changes."


Among the highest-profile skeptics of an improving job market is Mitt Romney, the Republican front-runner in the presidential race.


On Friday, Romney blamed Obama's policies for slowing the recovery, hurting families and making it harder for businesses to rebound.


"And for that," Romney said at a campaign stop in Nevada, "the president deserves the blame that he'll receive in this campaign."


The discouraged
Job seekers still face tough odds. There are still more than four unemployed Americans, on average, for every job opening. In a healthy economy, by contrast, that ratio would be roughly 2-to-1.


Sara Pereda, an executive assistant in New York City's entertainment industry, has applied for several job openings and received no responses, even though she's sure she was qualified. The same for many of her friends. Pereda, 30, has been seeking a job with more opportunity for advancement.


"You can send out 10 resumes and get one — and that's a maybe," Pereda says.


In Buffalo, N.Y., Rosanne DiPizio, vice president of her family's DiPizio Construction, says there isn't enough work for her company to justify hiring right now. It relies mostly on government road-construction contracts. And governments have been cutting back.


DiPizio also runs a concrete plant that would normally employ 100. It's down to 85.


"We will employ more if we have more work," she says. "It's that simple."


Jeff Searcy says fewer people are showing up at a support group he runs for job hunters at a church in Charlotte, N.C. Searcy isn't sure why. The area is suffering from 9.9 percent unemployment, far above the national average.


"We know it's not because everyone has found a job," Searcy says.


His theory?


"After you've been to 10 lectures on networking, how much more can you learn?"


Aaron Cruz of Indianapolis says that while hiring has picked up, there's a catch: Landing a job can mean accepting part-time work or a pay cut. Cruz lost his job as a truck driver in December 2008. He didn't find full-time work again until last June.


His old job paid $23 an hour; his new one, $14.


"The money I'm making now at this new job ... I made in my mid-20s," he says. "I'm 42 now."


He doesn't put much stock in better employment numbers. People forced to take part-time jobs once they exhaust their unemployment aid, Cruz notes, aren't counted as unemployed. Yet they still struggle.


"Every time I hear them, I doubt the numbers," he says.


Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Thursday, February 16

Senate OKs insider trading curbs on lawmakers

WASHINGTON — The Senate Thursday approved new curbs aimed at preventing lawmakers from trading shares based on inside information, but also extended the bill's disclosure requirements to more than 300,000 other federal employees.


The Senate voted 96-3 to pass the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge (STOCK) Act, which would require members of Congress to file electronic disclosures of their stock trades within 30 days of the transactions.


As a rare piece of legislation with strong bipartisan support in a deeply divided Congress - and the promise of a quick signature by President Barack Obama - the measure was quickly laden with more than 20 amendments this week.


Senators who saw the "clean government bill" as a vehicle bound for quick passage sought to attach proposals ranging from a ban on executive bonuses at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to a limit on terms for members of Congress.


Similar legislation is pending in the Republican-led House of Representatives, and a spokeswoman for Majority Leader Eric Cantor has said he plans to bring it to a vote this month.


After years of languishing, the disclosure bill has gained momentum at a time when voters are fed up with Congress. Opinion polls in recent months have pointed to public approval ratings for Congress hovering around 10 percent.


A November broadcast on CBS' "60 Minutes" about members of Congress trading stock based on inside information they received because of their positions drew national attention to the issue.


"We need to reassure a skeptical public that we understand elective office is a place for public service, not for private gain," said Republican Senator Susan Collins.


Obama, in his state of the Union address last week, asked Congress for swift passage of a bill banning insider trading by lawmakers. "So I am pleased the Senate took bipartisan action to pass the STOCK Act," Obama said in a statement after Thursday's vote, calling it an important step to rebuild trust.


"I urge the House of Representatives to pass this bill, and I will sign it right away," Obama said.


The Senate went one step further, passing the bill with an amendment that imposes the same stock trading disclosure requirements on employees of Executive Branch and independent government regulatory agencies.


EQUAL DISCLOSURE


Many Executive Branch employees are already subject to stringent financial disclosure rules and are sometimes required to divest holdings or put them into blind trusts they cannot control. But Republican Senator Richard Shelby was keen to put administration officials under the same scrutiny as Congress.


"What is good for the goose, it seems to me, should be good for the gander," said Shelby. "It only seems fair that executive branch officials who are already required to file annual financial reports, also be directed to meet the same additional reporting requirements being imposed on the legislative branch."


Independent Senator Joe Lieberman argued against this, saying it would put a costly and undue burden on more than 300,000 government workers, including secretaries and drivers. He offered an alternative to limit the disclosures to about 2,000 top-level officials.


"We're asking agencies to stretch personnel and resources to fulfill a totally new requirement when in fact we want them save money - not figure out ways to spend more money," Lieberman said.


Senators rejected a Democratic proposal that would have required lawmakers to sell shares in companies which could benefit from votes they might make - a requirement that many Executive Branch officials must abide by to avoid the risk of a conflict of interest.


The bonus ban for government-controlled Fannie and Freddie was also approved on a voice vote. The housing finance giants stirred controversy by announcing large bonuses for executives despite needing tens of billions of dollars in taxpayer bailout funds.


Also surviving the vote was a proposal by Republican Senator Charles Grassley to require professionals who gather "political intelligence" and sell this information to hedge funds and other investors for profit be registered like lobbyists.


The White House-backed bill would also explicitly give the Securities and Exchange Commission more clout in going after members of Congress who use non-public information to buy or sell shares in companies.


Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters.

Wednesday, February 15

Recovery is gathering speed, jobs data confirm

 By John W. Schoen, Senior Producer

The U.S. economy is like a flywheel: It takes a lot to get it going. Once it starts moving, it can pick up speed pretty quickly. 


To see why, look no further than Friday’s jobs report, which offered convincing evidence that the U.S. recovery is finally gaining momentum.


After months of subpar growth in their payrolls, American companies added 243,000 new jobs in January, considerably more than the 150,000 that forecasters expected. That drove the unemployment rate down from 8.5 percent in December to 8.3 percent, extending a rapid decline from 9.1 percent last August.


Since last fall, a series of economic reports have pointed to gradual improvement. But the January employment report tore the cover off the ball.


“It’s very unusual to get an unambiguous jobs report; usually you have a lot of cross currents in the data,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics. “This is unambiguous. Everything is good.”


The job gains were spread across the economy, from the leisure and hospitality industry, which added 44,000 jobs, to 11,000 new hires by retailers. The battered construction industry added 21,000 jobs, the second straight monthly gain, helped in part by unseasonably warm weather this winter.


The data also included heartening signs of more hiring to come. Employers added more temporary staff and increased the hours of their existing workers. That’s typically a sign that demand has picked up; once companies are convinced the uptick isn’t fleeting, they tend to add more full-time jobs.


January’s drop in the jobless rate also came as more people began looking for work. That’s especially encouraging because, for the rate to go down, a larger number had to have found work.


Many economists have warned that the jobless rate could rise again this year as “discouraged” workers resumed their job hunt; until they land a position, they’re counted as unemployed, which tends to boost the jobless rate until they get hired. That didn't happen in January, which means jobs are being created even faster than discouraged workers are returning to the labor force.


Forecasters were surprised by just how fast the employment data have improved; as of last month, the jobless rate has fallen by eight-tenths of a point in just five months.


VOTE: Do you think the economy has turned the corner?


“If you go back at look at the cycle after the '90-91 recession and the ‘01 recession, there was this period of no job growth, and then all of sudden it was a like a light switch went on in corporate America,” said Zandi. “It almost feels like that with this report.”


Though the report was good news by itself, the monthly employment data confirmed separate reports showing the U.S. economy getting back on its feet after a long, slow slog.


The economy’s gradual acceleration showed up in a separate report Friday showing ongoing strength in U.S. manufacturing. The Commerce Department said factory orders rose 1.1 percent in December, supported by a rebound in orders for heavy machinery, after a 2.2 percent gain in November. For the year, total orders were up 12.1 percent following a gain of 12.9 percent in 2010, the government reported Friday. Orders had plunged 22.1 percent in the 2009, the year the recession ended.  


Some of that surge in December came as companies rushed to place orders before an investment tax credit expired at the end of last year. But the spending on new equipment is expected to continue as companies seek to boost output by upgrading equipment and continuing to look for ways to use technology to boost productivity.


Since the 2007 recession ended, companies have been relying heavily on automation to boost the productivity of their existing workforce to meet rising demand. But the recent reports on productivity show those gains fading, indicating that employers may be exhausting their output gains available from automation, forcing them to add to payrolls.         


Service companies grew at the fastest pace in 11 months in January as companies hired more workers to keep up with rising demand. The Institute for Supply Management says its index of non-manufacturing activity jumped to 56.8 percent in January from 53 percent in December. Any reading above 50 indicates expansion. The survey tracks hotels, retailers, financial services firms and construction companies.


As hiring picks up, the pace of layoffs appears to be easing. Initial claims for unemployment insurance have been trending lower. One reason may be that the wave of government job cuts that followed the 2007 recession appears to be slowing. Friday’s jobs report showed that  government employment leveled off in January after falling by 276,000 jobs over the past 12 months.


State and local finances have begun to turn around as the improvement in the overall job market and the economy has boosted incomes and has helped sales tax receipts to recover. And though home prices continue falling in many parts of the country, the rapid drop in local property tax receipts has begun to ease.


“The picture has been slices of better news just about everywhere,” said Robert Brusca, chief economist at FAO Economics. “All of this is consistent with improvement.”


The stock market has already begun placing bets that strong growth is taking hold; the Standard & Poor's 500 index has risen 6.5 percent in  the last four weeks. Stock prices jumped sharply on Friday’s jobs data; the S&P 500 index added another 1.3 percent, on track for its fifth straight weekly gain.


The surprise drop in the unemployment rate bodes well for the Obama administration, too. The president faces a tough re-election campaign with some 12.8 million Americans still out of work and another 11 million who are working part-time but want a full-time job, or who have given up looking. When those workers are accounted for, the so-called "underemployment" in January stood at 15.1 percent, down just a tenth of a percentage point from December.


But the “headline” jobless rate has fallen to the lowest since February 2009, a month after Obama took office. Economists who have studied the link between the job market and presidential elections say the overall level of unemployment matters less than the pace of improvement in the job market and broader economy.


"There are still far too many Americans who need a job ... but the economy is growing stronger. The recovery is speeding up. And we need to do everything in our power to keep it going," Obama said Friday.


Still, the White House can expect continued withering criticism of its record as the campaign gathers momentum through November. Republican House Majority whip Kevin McCarthy of California Friday called the jobs data “welcome numbers” but said employment gains aren’t coming fast enough.


“There is a better way of going about doing this,” he said. “You've got a Senate sitting on 27 bills out of 30 that would help job creation. So there's a lot of work to be done.”


Most economists were surprised by the jobs data, prompting some to nudge their growth forecast higher for 2012.


But others noted that significant obstacles remain before the U.S. economy gets back up to cruising speed. The housing market remains mired in its worst recession since the 1930s; falling home prices continue to eat into household wealth. The ongoing debt crisis in Europe has forced widespread spending cutbacks that have thrown much of the continent into recession. It’s not at all clear what impact a deeper European recession would have on U.S. growth


“We’re reluctant to get too carried away just yet,” said Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics. “The economy began both 2010 and 2011 strongly before fading later in each year. As the unwinding of the previous fiscal stimulus starts to bite and as global demand falters, something similar may be on the cards this year.”


View the original article here

Tuesday, February 14

Sony sees $2.9 billion loss, new CEO warns of pain

TOKYO — Ailing Japanese electronics giant Sony Corp warned it was heading for a bigger-than-expected $2.9 billion annual loss, presenting a daunting task for incoming CEO Kazuo Hirai, who vowed to move quickly to turn things around.


Overtaken by more innovative rivals such as Apple Inc and Samsung Electronics over the past decade, Sony posted a $2.1 billion net loss for October-December, normally a strong quarter boosted by year-end holiday sales, as it battled a strong yen, flooding in Thailand that ruptured supply chains, and a weak economy.


It also took a one-off charge for exiting a flat panel joint venture with Samsung, and said sales dropped 17 percent to 1.82 trillion yen.


The forecast for a 220 billion yen ($2.9 billion) net loss for the year to March, Sony's fourth straight year of red ink, was close to double what the market had expected, and revealed the task ahead for Hirai, who replaces Howard Stringer as CEO in April.


Hirai, a 51-year old Sony veteran known for reviving the PlayStation gaming operations through aggressive cost-cutting, said he would not hesitate to scale back or withdraw from businesses if they were not competitive.


"I have a very strong sense of crisis about the environment surrounding us," Hirai told a news conference. "We cannot be afraid to make painful choices for the future of Sony. Our rivals and the operating environment won't wait for us."


There is unlikely to be a honeymoon period for Hirai, who is under immediate pressure to sort out the ailing TV business after it fell behind South Korean rivals such as Samsung in a market where prices are tumbling.


Above all, Hirai will strive to recapture the innovative flair that led Sony to come up with the Walkman personal music-player in the 1980s and the PlayStation in the 1990s, and regain ground lost since then to Apple and Samsung whose iPhones, iPads and Galaxy gadgets are snapped up by consumers.


Some analysts believe Hirai -- 51, tall, urbane and a fluent English speaker -- can rekindle the flame, saying he has a good grasp of the overall business and is likely to know how to break down its silos and integrate its divisions.


Others are less optimistic about his chances.


"It won't be easy for Sony to regain its lost ground under new leadership, as its overall competitiveness has sharply weakened," said Kim Young-Chan, analyst at Shinhan Investment Corp in Seoul.


"It's got structural problems that will take years to fix.


"It's not just Sony, but Japanese IT firms have similar problems. They are failing to innovate and produce industry-leading products in almost every major area - from TVs to displays, tablets and smartphones."


Hisashi Kuroda, general manager of equity investment at Meiji Yasuda Asset Management in Tokyo said Sony had to take tough decisions.


"Unless they do radical reforms, like the ones that would put everything completely upside down, Sony may not be able even to make profits."


A chief concept in Hirai's strategy hinges on merging Sony's robust roster of entertainment properties - including singers Kelly Clarkson and Michael Jackson, and the "Spider-Man" and "Men in Black" film franchises - with its Vaio, Bravia and other electronics brands, in an effort to boost sales.


He said the TV business would be crucial to this "convergence" strategy, brushing aside suggestions it may need to pull out of the market even with the business set to lose 220-230 billion yen this financial year.


"There's still a chance in home electronics and I don't think Sony should quit TV's, but unfortunately I can imagine the day may come when they will pull the plug on the business," said a former engineer and executive at Sony.


"This is because when you keep making losses and you have no fresh ideas, that becomes the easy choice."


Chief Financial Officer Masaru Kato said Sony aimed to halve losses on flat TVs in the next financial year from April, when as a company it hopes to make an operating profit of about 200 billion yen.


Hirai singled out medical as a potential core business for the future, but he declined to comment on any possible investment in troubled endoscope maker Olympus Corp.


Welsh-born Stringer, a former journalist who ran U.S. broadcaster CBS, was brought in as a rare foreign CEO in Japan to shake things up, but many analysts see his major achievement as cost-cutting.


Sony's shares have lost nearly two-thirds of their value since Stringer, who turns 70 this month, took the helm as CEO and chairman in 2005.


Stringer sold off TV factories in Spain, Slovakia and Mexico and outsourced more than half of its production to other companies, including Hon Hai Precision Industry, the contract electronics maker whose key customer is Apple.


Recently, Sony exited an LCD panel venture with Samsung, enabling it to obtain screens for its TVs more cheaply. It also agreed to buy out Ericsson's half of their smartphone venture for $1.5 billion to shore up its position in a market where Apple and Samsung have become leaders.


Hirai was effectively anointed as Stringer's successor last March when he was promoted to head Sony's consumer products and services businesses, which produce the bulk of Sony's $85 billion in annual sales.


"They've been grooming him for a while," said Dan Ernst, Hudson Square analyst. "I think he will carry on the plan for Sony - as difficult as it is."


The last year has been brutal for many Japanese companies, hit by a strong yen that hurt exports, and two natural disasters - the March earthquake in Japan and the Thai floods.


Stringer said those disasters and the Lehman shock of 2008 had hit Sony hard and masked much of the progress made during his watch.


"If we hadn't reformed Sony as we did, can you imagine where we would be today," Stringer said. "I rest my case."


Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters.

Monday, February 13

Obama may keep his job even if you lose yours

By John W. Schoen, Senior Producer

The conventional wisdom among many political pundits is that President Barack Obama faces an uphill re-election battle in large part because unemployment seems stuck at historically high levels. Economists who have studied the impact of the job market on past elections beg to disagree.


It’s true that no president since Franklin Roosevelt has been elected when the unemployment rate was over 7.2 percent. That was where the jobless rate stood in 1984, when Ronald Reagan won a second term, beating Walter Mondale in a landslide, with 59 percent of the popular vote.


The jobless rate stood at 7.4 percent when George H.W. Bush lost his 1992 re-election bid against challenger Bill Clinton; it was at 7.5 percent in November 1980, when Jimmy Carter lost his job to Reagan.


If that were the only statistic that mattered, Obama indeed would have his work cut out for him.


Though the job market began gradually improving in the second half of last year, employment growth remains sluggish. The jobless rate dropped by a sharp 0.5 percentage point in the last three months of 2011 but currently stands at 8.5 percent and is expected to show little or no improvement when the government reports updated January data on Friday. Some forecasters caution the rate might even rise again this year as “discouraged” workers, who are not included in the official "headline" rate, begin looking for work again and raise the count of those considered unemployed.


But a high unemployment rate, by itself, isn’t necessarily a problem for an incumbent president, according to Ray Fair, a Yale University economist who has analyzed the impact of the economy on presidential elections back to 1916.


“What the data show is that it’s the change in the economy, primarily in the year of the election, that matters — not the level,” he said.


So far, the trend is moving in the right direction. But it could easily be derailed by this fall.


Fair’s current forecasts show a very close race. But his models show that Obama still stands a good chance of re-election even with a relatively modest drop in the unemployment rate by November.


“When they go to the booth, voters would see this as a positive sign: Obama’s got the economy growing again,” said Fair. "Even though the unemployment rate is higher than full employment, the trend is good and things are improving.”


Reagan’s 1984 re-election is a good example of that scenario: at 7.2 percent in November, the jobless rate was down more than a full percentage point from a year earlier as the economy continued to shake off the lingering impact of the 1980-1982 recession that sent the jobless rate soaring to 10.8 percent.


To capitalize on the high level of unemployment, GOP presidential hopefuls have hammered Obama's economic record, blaming a variety of White House policies for the weak job market. Front-runner Mitt Romney has tried to make the case that, if elected, the former Massachusetts Republican and Bain Capital president would apply his business experience to do a better job putting Americans back to work.


But for all the money spent on political advertising, the airtime devoted to debates and the miles logged in campaign jets and busses, the GOP attacks and Romney’s 162-page policy proposal may not mean much, say some analysts.


The correlation between economics and presidential elections is so strong, they say, that most of the attention on wider issues and policy differences -- from fiscal matters like taxes and the deficit, to social issues like income inequality and immigration -- have very little impact on voters’ final decision.


“Political scientists don’t tend to think the specifics of the challengers platform matter all that much,” said Brendan Nyhan, a government Professor at Dartmouth College. “Incumbent re-elections are primarily a referendum on the incumbent and specifically on their economic record. If the economy is strong, the challenger may try to shift onto some other issue, but that rarely works.”


Even as the economy continues to muddle through at a relatively weak growth pace, Obama may also be in a position to play a few important cards not available to his Republican challenger.


Incumbents have long used the power of the White House to enact programs and policies that help give the economy a jolt in the months before voters go the polls. Richard Nixon famously pressured then-Federal Reserve Board chairman Arthur Burns to cut interest rates to help spur the economy in the months ahead of his successful 1972 re-election despite widespread opposition to his administration’s Vietnam War policies.  


That’s increased the stakes in the ongoing debate over extending payroll tax cuts and long-term unemployment insurance. Both measures, if enacted, would improve American households' spending power and improve their sense of personal financial well-being. If Republican’s succeed in block or paring down those measures, the impact on consumer spending could create a further drag on the economy just in time for the campaign’s home stretch this fall.


Those two pocketbook helpers, though, may be Obama’s last chance to give the economy the momentum he’ll need to fend off voters’ money malaise, according to Mark Zandi, an economist with Moody’s Analytics and former advisor to 2008 GOP presidential hopeful John McCain.

Sunday, February 12

Megaupload boss had a wild ride before the arrest

In the Wild, Wild West-era of digital media, there is no cowboy quite like Kim Dotcom. Part Sean Parker, part Kevin Mitnick, with a whiff of Notorious B.I.G., Dotcom embodies the wildest age of piracy having made a fortune on the edges of Internet freedom.


Dotcom, the megamind behind Megaupload, was arrested yesterday in New Zealand, his panic-room door busted down by officials, who found the hacker clinging to a sawed-off shotgun. Dotcom faces up to 55 years in prison if extradited to the U.S. and convicted on charges of racketeering, copyright infringement, and money laundering. The hacker-turned-multimillionaire businessman has been accused of costing the entertainment industry $500 million through pirated content uploaded to his popular file-sharing site, which boasted 180 million registered users and celebrity endorsements from Kanye West to Kim Kardashian.


Before Megaupload was shut down by federal prosecutors, a statement was reportedly posted on the site calling the charges "grotesquely overblown."


Dotcom has long been a controversial and flamboyant figure. Pictures of the Megaupload founder online show him with yachts, private jets and Playboy bunnies in exotic locations such as Monaco, Cuba, and Brazil. According to court filings, prosecutors are seeking the forfeiture of $175 million, dozens of bank accounts, as well as sports cars including Mercedes-Benzes, Rolls-Royces, and Lamborghinis (with vanity plates such as "God" and "CEO").


Long before SOPA, Dotcom saw a potential market in taking advantage of the system--and ran wild with the opportunity. How wild? Here's a look inside Dotcom's life of excess--a lifestyle afforded to a guy who's both tech savvy and unencumbered by business ethics, and who has a taste for shotguns, black Benzes, and wraparound shades.


- In 1994, 20 cops raided Dotcom's home, in what appeared to be a sting operation set up by MCI. The police confiscated $80,000 in computer equipment, arresting Dotcom and charging him with selling stolen credit cards. Dotcom claimed to be working undercover for MCI, and that he was only trying to help make the company's systems more secure.


- In 1998, Dotcom wore black sunglasses to his trial in Germany, and boasted that he loved "feeling like a spy." He was convicted of fraud and other hacking charges, including embezzling hundreds of thousands of dollars. He was sentenced to two years of probation, and fined 20,000 marks. The judge at the time said the court viewed his actions as "youthful foolishness."


- In 2001, Kim Dotcom (then known as Kim Schmitz) purchased a mountain of shares in a nearly bankrupt company called LetsBuyIt.com. He revealed to the public that he'd invest $100 million in the company. Share prices rocketed 300%, earning him $1.5 million in profit--but also landed him an insider trading conviction in Germany.


- After the 9/11 attacks, Dotcom offered a bounty of $10 million for the capture of Osama Bin Laden. He launched a group called the Young Intelligent Hackers Against Terrorism, which he said received thousands of tips. "We cannot say what's true...but we will forward it all to the FBI," he said at the time, providing one sample email tip to the Sunday Herald Sun, which said, "Try Looking in Kandahar in Afghanistan. He visits his wife and daughter there at least once a month"


Dotcom also launched a website called Kill.net to help recruit hackers for his mission of stopping terrorism. The mission guidelines: search for accounts of terror organizations, identify money transactions, financial supporters, and capture and deliver data to officials. "The domain is easy to remember," Dotcom told News Bytes of Kill.net. "The potential for misspelling it is small."


- According to The Guardian of London, Dotcom once changed former German chancellor Helmut Kohl's credit rating to zero.


- Dotcom's hacker name was or is "Kimble," a nickname that derived from Dr. Richard Kimball of The Fugitive.


- Dotcom has a love for racing cars, but after he was banned from driving for a year for speeding in 2001, he started a company called Megacar, based on his custom-built S-class Mercedes that included a wireless computer, 16 phone lines, real-time video-conferencing access, as well as a flat-screen panel that folded into the ceiling, four TVs, and a DVD player. According to The Independent, he thought the car would be attractive for heads of state and diplomats, and claimed Chrysler and GM were interested in building a model based on his prototype. Megacar, said Dotcom, was one his "kimpanies."


- After being arrested in Bangkok in a 5-star hotel, due to a request by the German embassy, Dotcom threated to kill himself online on his birthday in protest. He said on his website that "the real Kim Schmitz" is no more, and that he wants now to be called "His Royal Highness King Kimble the First, Ruler of the Kimpire." He was eventually deported from Thailand to Germany where he was detained in 2002.


- Dotcom is said to be 6 feet 7, and weigh 330 pounds, according to the L.A. Times in 2001. Though he was in hot water in Germany in the early aughts, Dotcom is said to have always cherished his reputation in the U.S., where he didn't fear arrest or prosecution.


"I get 100 e-mails a day from Americans who say, 'What you're doing is cool--can we work for you?' From Germans I also get 100 e-mails a day, saying, 'You fat pig!' or 'You're a liar and a criminal!' " Dotcom told the L.A. Times. "I'm trying to change this."


Of his standing in the U.S., he said at the time: "I don't know of any formal charges, but with all the fingerprints I left and all the coverage of my trial here, I suspect there is something pending."


- When Dotcom fled Germany in 2002, he released a message on his website entitled "Bye-Bye, Deutschland," in which he said his "German high-tech fairy tale" had come to an end, and that he's leaving out of fear of criminals threatening his life. He ended the message by saying, "Legends may sleep, but they never die," apparently quoting The Sandlot. "Next week starts here the KimPire."


- Dotcom has said his convictions in Germany were cleared up through the country's "cleanslate" law, news network TV3 has reported. "Officially, I am as clean as it gets," Dotcom said.


- In 2002, Dotcom sought to charter a former Russian Navy nuclear-powered ice-breaker to take a group of his friends on a cruise of the North Pole, according to the Sydney Morning Herald. Dotcom also sought an "igloo village for icebound partying and dog races." The charter never came to fruition because of Dotcom's business "irregularities."


- In 2003, Dotcom appeared in an episode of MTV Asia's Whatever Things, a sort of foreign version of Jackass, where he interrupted a yoga class by yelling "happy birthday" over a megaphone.


- In 2005, Dotcom showed up in a Vanity Fair profile of the Gumball 3000, a high-speed sports car race out of Paris. He's noted as a "very skilled and fast driver," and a "highly competitive venture capitalist." He reportedly made a bet with two female drivers that he'd win the Gumball: "He'll give them each a half a million pounds if they beat him, but if he wins, he gets a threesome."


During the race, his sports car hit 155 mph. When 10 cops were waiting at a tollbooth to stop him, Dotcom zoomed by on the service road, refusing to stop. "I decided to get here first and nothing would stop me," Dotcom told Vanity Fair. "I'm very glad that I can sit here tonight, enjoy the party, have the glory and the fame of being the fastest Gumballer again...We go out for a battle together, and the battle is being six days on the road and trying to kick ass with all these supercars, which are kind of our weapons...And some know how to shoot really well and some don't, and at the end of the day everybody who arrives here in Cannes or any checkpoint deserves total respect."


- In 2005, Dotcom decided to launch The Ultimate Rally, a 3,000-mile race billed as the "first exotic-car transcontinental race of its kind." With a $2 million grand prize, the race was slated for the summer of 2006, and would include 100 cars racing over five days, followed by a two-day party.


- Last year, Dotcom tried to buy one of New Zealand's most expensive homes, a $25 million property in north-west Auckland, but ministers denied the request because he didn't meet "good character" requirements. He decided to rent the property instead, according to the Deutsche Presse-Agentur. And after he invested $8 million in New Zealand government bonds--and made a donation to the Christchurch earthquake fund--his application for residency was approved.


- Dotcom has claimed to be worth more than $200 million, and is said live "largely behind the walls of the mansion surrounded by bodyguards," according to the Deutsche Presse-Agentur.


- Dotcom put $500,000 into a fireworks display for Auckland's New Year's Eve celebration. According to an associate, "He just loves fireworks," the New Zealand Herald reported.


- Dotcom had plans to buy the most exclusive properties in New Zealand and create a sort of high-end version of Airbnb: a network of expensive rentals for VIP travelers. He also once had ambitions to start "Kim's Lifestyle Club" and "Kim's Lifestyle Shop," though it's unclear whether his plans ever materialized.


Copyright © 2012 Mansueto Ventures LLC. All rights reserved.

Private sector's job creation pace stumbles

Private sector's job creation pace stumbles
Bebeto Matthews / AP


Jason Weinstein, an account manager for Workforce1 Healthcare, discusses job opportunities with attendees at a job fair in New York last month.


By msnbc.com staff and wire


Private employers added 170,000 jobs in January, according to a new report released Wednesday from payrolls processor ADP.


The monthly number came in exactly as analysts had expected, but December’s monthly gain in private-sector hiring was revised down by to 33,000 to a gain of 292,000.


“It has been said that slow and steady wins the race. I like to win a race in the long run, but it has to be said we are running a little bit slowly here,” Joel Prakken of Macroeconomic Advisers, which helps produce the survey, told CNBC.


We need monthly gains in employment twice this amount “to climb out of this hole we are in,” he added.


Each month, ADP releases a report on whether private employers added any jobs in the prior month. The report is often used as a gauge heading into the government’s monthly employment report, which is due out Friday.


Reuters contributed to this report.

Saturday, February 11

Weird: Microsoft now owns 'clicktohump.com'

Weird: Microsoft now owns 'clicktohump.com'
Microsoft


Sorry, but this was too strange to ignore: Domain name watchdog Fusible.com reports that Microsoft has obtained the sites “clicktohump.com” and “clicktohump.org” as part of an acquisition spree possibly related to the release of "Halo 4" this fall.


(Msnbc.com is a joint venture of Microsoft and NBC Universal.)


Whois records confirm it. Fusible suggests that “clicktohump” is a reference to an unsavory practice in Halo multiplayer games, but even if that’s the case, it’s not clear why the company would feel the need to take ownership of the domain. We’re checking to see if we can find out.


In the meantime, it’s important to note that Microsoft secures many domain names that it never uses, to protect its interests and keep others from using them. That could be part of the explanation here. Other Halo-related names acquired by the company recently include CortanaKnows.net, FallofReach.com, SpartanBase.com and others, according to the Fusible report.


Microsoft has been known to conduct quirky online campaigns, but this would take it to a whole new level. Both the dot-com and the dot-org variations of “clicktohump” currently return 404 errors.


For now, we’ll file this one under “unexplained weirdness,” and let you know if we hear otherwise.

Friday, February 10

Small business confidence in December

Small businesses grew more confident in the economy of the future in December mark a fourth month straight to improve to an optimistic outlook for terms and conditions and a survey showed published real estate profits on Tuesday.


The National Federation of independent business, said his small business optimism index rose 1.8 points to 93.8.


Eight of the index 10 components were either improved or flat. Half he won due to reduced concern about business conditions six months in the future, the NFIB said.


The index is still in recession territory, but 6 points under the pre-recession average and more than 10 percentage points or more at the same point in the recovery from the recession of 2001.


The gains in the index are supported the view that economic growth will pick up in 2012, but the gains are not likely be significant if the index sharper, increases the group, said.


The NFIB reported earlier this month that small businesses to cut staff in December. The percentage of companies reporting, that the reduction in employment remained relatively low, but increasing the employment rate, although larger, percentage losses will not make up and historically low for an extension.


Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters.

Thursday, February 9

NYT: Romney fan and private equity poster boy

It was, the gossip pages would later report, the talk of the Hamptons — a midsummer night’s bacchanal in the playground of the 1 percent.


Beyond the windswept dunes in Bridgehampton, at a $400,000-a-month oceanfront mansion, bright young things bubbled up and the Champagne flowed fast. Into the small hours, professional dancers in exotic clothing gyrated atop platforms. One couple twirled flaming torches. The sounds of techno boomed over the beach.


The New York Post summed up the evening’s Dionysian mysteries with the following headline: “Nude Frolic in Tycoon’s Pool.”


The Post’s tycoon, and the party’s host, was a financier named Marc J. Leder, and those weekend revels last July had the East End of Long Island buzzing. Like many deal makers, though, Mr. Leder, 50, is virtually unknown outside financial circles. But from his headquarters in Boca Raton, Fla., he presides over a multibillion-dollar private empire. He is a practitioner of a Wall Street art that helped define an age of hyperwealth, and which has now been dragged into the white-hot spotlight of presidential politics: private equity.


It was through private equity that one Republican candidate, Mitt Romney, amassed his wealth — and, it turns out, it was through private equity that Mr. Romney first met Mr. Leder. A couple of months after the blowout in Bridgehampton, Mr. Leder was host for a fund-raiser at his Boca Raton home for Mr. Romney’s campaign. But the connection goes back even further. Years ago, a visit to Mr. Romney’s investment firm inspired Mr. Leder to get into private equity in the first place. Mr. Romney was an early investor in some of the deals done by Mr. Leder’s investment company, Sun Capital, which today oversees about $8 billion in equity.


Mr. Romney’s own time in the private equity business, at Bain Capital, has provoked fierce attacks from Republican rivals and others. It has also prompted a lot of questions, including the big one: What good is this business, anyway? Detractors say private equity has enriched a handful of financiers at the expense of ordinary Americans. The deal makers, this line goes, buy companies and then bleed the life out of them. Jobs are often among the casualties.


Whether there’s truth to such claims depends on whom you ask. Private equity executives, as well as Mr. Romney, who left Bain in 1999, say the industry fixes troubled companies and ultimately creates jobs. Whatever the case, three decades after this sort of deal-making burst onto the scene in the merger mania of the 1980s, there are surprisingly few solid answers from either side.


What is certain is that buyout specialists upended the old order and made vast fortunes for themselves. Fueled by easy money from banks, and from endowments and pension funds, these private investors were able to buy companies with borrowed money and put down relatively little of their own cash.


Today, many of these private kingdoms rival the nation’s mightiest public companies. In all, the private equity industry oversees $3 trillion in global assets, according to Preqin, the research firm. Buyout kings control more than 14,000 American companies, including brands like Hilton Hotels and Burger King.


But financiers weren’t the only ones to embrace private equity. On the campaign trail, Rick Perry called private equity artists “vulture capitalists.” But as governor of Texas, he blessed the largest corporate buyout in history — the $44.4 billion takeover of the utility TXU by several investment firms in 2007. Indeed, as in many other places nationwide, public pension funds in Texas used public money to bet on private equity, in hopes of generating the investment returns they needed to pay retirees.


Against this backdrop, the story of Marc Leder might seem a footnote in the nation’s economic ledger. But it is a story worth knowing. That’s because, in many ways, Mr. Leder personifies the debates now swirling around this lucrative corner of finance.


To his critics, he represents everything that’s wrong with this setup. In recent years, a large number of the companies that Sun Capital has acquired have run into serious trouble, eliminated jobs or both. Since 2008, some 25 of its companies — roughly one of every five it owns — have filed for bankruptcy.


Among the losers was Friendly’s, the restaurant chain known for its Jim Dandy sundaes and Fribble shakes. (Sun Capital was accused by a federal agency of pushing Friendly’s into bankruptcy last year to avoid paying pensions to the chain’s employees; Sun disputes that contention.) Another company that sank into bankruptcy was Real Mex, owner of the Chevy’s restaurant chain. In that case, Mr. Leder lost money for his investors not once, but twice.


Yet Mr. Leder doesn’t seem to be suffering too much himself. In fact, he is living so large that he can’t avoid the limelight. Last July, he used part of his personal fortune to join a group of investors in buying the Philadelphia 76ers. In December, he was spotted on St. Bart’s with Russell Simmons, of Def Jam and Phat Farm fame, and Rachel Zoe, the celebrity stylist. That again landed him in The New York Post, which dubbed him a “private equity party boy.”


Mr. Leder says that characterization couldn’t be further from the truth. He focuses on what are known as “scratch and dent” deals, which typically involve companies that are struggling to begin with. One-third of the companies Sun Capital has bought are losing money. It’s a tricky game in good times, and downright dangerous in bad ones. Mr. Leder and his defenders say Sun Capital has saved many companies and, with them, many, many jobs.


“I think the portrayal of me as having wild and crazy parties is absolutely incorrect,” Mr. Leder said during a wide-ranging interview in Sun Capital’s offices in Midtown Manhattan. “I spend a small percentage throwing some parties, attending some parties. I like music. I like to dance. But rather than reporting on how I spend 340 days and nights of my year, the media likes to report on the other 25.”


Paul Jones, chief executive of the Midwest retailer ShopKo, which Sun Capital acquired in 2005, said Mr. Leder has kept a close eye on his company. “I get e-mails from him, usually on Sunday mornings, in which he’s says we had an impressive week or sometimes it’s just to give our team an ‘attaboy,’ ” Mr. Jones said.


For more than 28 years, Helen Smolak worked at the Friendly’s in Denham, Mass. Day in and day out, she served Big Beef Burgers and Fribbles, collected tips and made a decent living.


All that changed one evening last October. That was when Ms. Smolak’s supervisor called to tell her the restaurant was shutting down — immediately.


“It was my family. That was my home,” said Ms. Smolak, 56. “Friendly’s always came first. I was supposed to retire with these people and with this company.”


What went wrong? Sun Capital acquired Friendly’s in 2007 for $395 million — an 8 percent premium based on Friendly’s stock price at the time. But now Sun was saying the weak economy and the rising prices of milk and other ingredients had pushed Friendly’s, a 76-year-old chain, to the brink.


The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, the federal agency that helps safeguard corporate pensions, wasn’t so sure. It accused Sun Capital in bankruptcy court filings of using the bankruptcy to shift Friendly’s pension burden onto the agency.


“That’s absolutely not true,” Mr. Leder said. Friendly’s pension fund, he said, was underfunded well before Sun Capital bought the company. The outcome, he added, is simply the way the bankruptcy process works.


“We don’t make the rules,” he said with a shrug. He said the matter was settled with the agency for a “nominal” sum.


Bankruptcy is never pretty. But, in this case, Sun Capital was particularly adept at getting what it wanted. Only months after Friendly’s went bankrupt, Mr. Leder has already regained control of the company. It was a calculated move, and one that is potentially lucrative for Sun Capital and its investors. In filing for bankruptcy, Friendly’s also cut hundreds of jobs, closed dozens of restaurants and bought some time to regroup. Now, if Sun Capital can turn around Friendly’s, it might eventually be able to sell the chain at a profit.


And profit, after all, is what private equity is really about. Among the Sun Capital investors that stand to benefit from all of this are the New York State Teachers’ Retirement System, the Indiana State Teachers’ Retirement Fund and the Ford Foundation.


Jeffrey States is the investment officer for the Nebraska Investment Council, another Sun Capital investor. He said some private equity firms do provide information about how their dealings might affect things like jobs. But not all investors ask for such details.


“The primary objective is returns,” Mr. States said.


Mr. Leder, for his part, has never been shy about turning a profit. He and another banker, Rodger R. Krouse, were working at Lehman Brothers when they saw the huge money-making potential of private equity. They hatched their plan to get into the business one April afternoon in 1995, after a meeting at Mr. Romney’s Bain Capital in Boston.


The executives at Bain had been grousing about a deal in which Bain had doubled its money. But the Bain executives were lamenting that if they had sold sooner, they could have made much more.


On the plane back to New York, Mr. Leder and Mr. Krouse sat stunned.


“We’re looking at each other saying, ‘This is an industry where double your money is not that good of a deal?’ ” Mr. Leder recalls.


At 10 the next morning, Mr. Leder and Mr. Krouse marched into their bosses’ offices and quit. They then decided to base their new private equity firm in Boca Raton, and became its co-chief executives, believing the location would give them an edge in spotting potential acquisitions in the Southeast before their rivals in New York and Boston. But competitors kept outbidding them for companies.


It took 20 months, but they finally got their foot in the door. Friends and family members invested in their first dozen deals. Mr. Romney also invested personally in some early transactions, including an acquisition of a company that made speakers for computers and another that made carbon paper.


(Mr. Romney’s 2011 financial disclosures included stakes worth less than $15,000 apiece in two Sun-controlled companies — a pittance, given his estimated wealth of as much as $250 million. A spokeswoman for Mr. Romney’s campaign did not respond to an e-mail or a call seeking comment.)


Sun Capital soon carved a niche in doing turnarounds. In 1997, it acquired a majority stake in a maker of injection-molded polypropylene panels. By 2002, that company had more than doubled its sales.


One success led to another. Mr. Leder and Mr. Krouse invested $1.5 million in a company that supplied parts for Corvettes and walked away with $20 million. Two Sun investors were so tickled that they bought each man a red Corvette.


Such successes aside, Mr. Leder and Mr. Krouse make something of an odd couple. Mr. Krouse has the quiet demeanor of an accountant and tends to shift in his seat when conversations turn to his private life. (Former associates say he is a family man who likes to spend his spare time reading.)


Mr. Leder, by contrast, is bigger than life. He storms into a room and seems to suck out all of the air. Several former colleagues say he appears to have a photographic memory. He speaks rapidly and rarely holds back.


In a conversation about his business dealings, he segued into how his father wanted him to be a doctor but that he opted for other pursuits because he hated dissecting frogs in biology class. And he mentioned how he used crushed graham crackers as the secret ingredient in the pancakes he used to make for his youngest daughter.


He also said he started reading The Wall Street Journal when he was 12, and that in high school he delivered chickens and started a D. J. business. And he said that he typically sleeps for two to three hours at a time at night before waking up to answer e-mails.


AS word got out about Sun Capital’s early investment successes, pension funds and endowments were soon clamoring to get into its funds. Sun Capital raised fund after fund, each bigger than the last. In 2007, it raised $6 billion for a single fund. Sun Capital had hit the big time.


Then the Great Recession struck. The private equity boom turned bust fast.


By early 2009, numerous companies that Sun Capital had acquired were struggling to survive. Sun was racked by internal dissent. And Mr. Leder’s personal life had hit a rough patch.


By that spring, several Sun companies, including Drug Fair, Big 10 Tires and Mark IV Industries, had spiraled into bankruptcy. The firm had already taken losses on a large deal, a hostile takeover of the fashion company Kellwood, which Sun Capital had acquired without the usual due diligence.


Then came other, more personal blows. Mr. Leder and Mr. Krouse both lost money that they had personally invested with Bernard L. Madoff. Mr. Leder and his wife of 22 years, Lisa, began to go through a messy divorce. She demanded half of his total wealth, which she contended was more than $400 million at the time. The two eventually settled for an undisclosed amount.


Its business in retreat, Sun Capital laid off a number of its own employees. Those who stayed were told they would receive no cash bonuses. Instead, everyone was given a bigger slice of the portfolio of companies that, at that time, was losing value every day.


Angry employees fired off a list of dozens of pointed questions to Mr. Leder and Mr. Krouse, asking how much money the two co-founders had been paid and how much they had taken out of Sun Capital. The employees wanted to know how a firm that had just raised a $6 billion fund, and which was collecting about $120 million a year in management fees alone, could possibly be running low on cash.


Mr. Leder and Mr. Krouse had, in fact, already paid themselves handsomely for their giant fund. As 50-50 partners, they kept the first year’s fees, in cash, for themselves, according to former employees. A spokesman for Sun Capital declined to comment.


Mr. Leder said that even during its worst year, Sun Capital booked a small profit. He denied that his decisions were driven by his own financial interests. And Sun Capital paid its employees cash bonuses early for 2009 , he said, because “we realized we had pulled in the reins a little too hard.”


To critics who say that Sun Capital grew too big, too fast, Mr. Leder pointed to ShopKo, which it bought for $1.2 billion. Sun brought in new management, freshened up stores and plans to merge it with another Midwest retailer, Pamida. Sun Capital has already paid itself a dividend on that deal, and Mr. Leder says he expects it will generate big returns.


In a smaller deal, Sun Capital bought the Midwest retailer Gordmans for $56 million in 2008. It doubled its returns through two dividend payments and proceeds from the Gordmans initial public offering in 2010.


When asked if private equity could withstand the heat of election-year politics, Mr. Leder seems unfazed. He is among the top contributors to the political action committee Restore Our Future, a so-called super-PAC created to help Mr. Romney. He insists his business isn’t politics — it’s private equity.


“I don’t worry about what I can’t affect,” he said.


This story, "In a Romney Believer, Private Equity’s Risks and Rewards," oringinally appeared in The New York Times.


Copyright © 2012 The New York Times

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