Wednesday, October 31

Program aims to help female vets-turned-entrepreneurs

By Bill Briggs, NBC News contributor
With one in five post-9/11 female veterans temporarily locked out of the job market, hundreds of ex-military women have discovered a promising financial side door: self-employment.

A new survey of 800 female veterans-turned-entrepreneurs finds that 55 percent say the leadership skills they learned in uniform ultimately pushed them to become their own boss.

But nearly half of those same women acknowledge they don’t have a business plan to help navigate their next two years, while 28 percent report their greatest need is learning how to find and retain new customers, according to the poll conducted by Capital One Financial Corporation and Count Me In For Women's Economic Independence, a nonprofit.

To help bolster the growing pool of female veterans who have launched small businesses — and, simultaneously, create more jobs for ex-service members — Capital One and Count Me In have partnered to launch the Women Veteran Entrepreneur Corps (WVEC).

Hatched as a training and mentorship program, WVEC aims to help female small business owners who are veterans (as well as their spouses or domestic partners) overcome common entrepreneurial pitfalls and plot future revenue growth.

For seed money, Capital One said it has committed $800,000 toward the program.

“The energy and motivation that women veterans bring to their business ventures is unmatched, and we are very excited to use our experience helping women reach their entrepreneurial potential to help this important — and growing — group of new entrepreneurs,” Nell Merlino, founder and President of Count Me In, said in a prepared statement.

Beyond the money and research, Count Me In and Capital One plan to christen the WVEC initiative with a conference and business-pitch competition for women small business owners who are military veterans on Dec. 3 and 4. The event is slated to take place in McLean, Va., and is expected to attract hundreds of women veterans and business growth experts to participate in a variety of panels and workshops — some led by women veterans.

To help women prepare for the December WEVC event, Count Me In also will host for business owners a series of free “pitch parties” in select U.S. cities. At those gatherings, participating women can practice their two-minute business pitches and get instant, expert feedback, the nonprofit said. Individuals can register for the WVEC pitch parties and the December conference by clicking hmere.

Tuesday, October 30

Tips to help small businesses survive hard times

There are over 27 million small businesses operating around the country, so how do you grow your company? msnbc's J.J. Ramberg, author of "It's Your Business," shares tips to give you a leg up on the competition.

Unlike Humpty Dumpty who took a fall and couldn’t be put back together again, there are a lot of small business owners out there who seem to have a sixth sense about how to take a fall without breaking!

Either through good luck or good sense, some entrepreneurs seem to have a knack for making the right moves at the right time to keep their businesses solvent.

TV news reporter JJ Ramberg, and two of her producers, Lisa Everson and Frank Silverstein, have been keeping track of these so-called "naturals" ever since the economy went south more than four years ago. They’ve just published a book of practical advice and usable wisdom from these natural born survivors called: "It’s Your Business: 183 Essential Tips that Will Transform Your Business."

BOOK EXCERPT: ‘It's Your Business’: Getting your company off the ground

Here’s a few of the survival stories from those who’ve learned from the school of hard knocks.

The soft touch

Meet Paige Arnof-Fenn (Tip No.108), owner of the Boston-based marketing company Maven’s & Moguls. When the work dried up, Paige went on a "listening tour." Instead of pitching new business to people who couldn’t afford it, she offered to meet former clients to talk about their current problems and long-term plans, with no strings attached. Now that the economy is showing some small signs of life, Arnof-Fenn reports that many of those same people are now hiring her.

The sharp elbows

Mike Michalowicz (Tip No.104), founder of New Jersey-based Obsidian Launch, took a more aggressive stand. “When a competitor goes out of business, immediately call the phone company and ask to have their number redirected to yours.” He told us. “You’ll have to train your staff to politely explain that the company they intended to reach has gone out of business, and you can provide them with excellent service.” Same goes for URLs as well. You might have to call the business and persuade them to sell you the Web address, but it might well be worth it.

The fancy dance

Juliea Kushnir (Tip No.84), owner of New Jersey-based Tax Solutions, kept herself afloat not by offering profit-killing discounts and price reductions, but by increasing "value" instead. She says she offered packages of services with a few extra bells and whistles (that didn’t actually cost her much to add) but made her services stand out from the crowd while keeping her fees at the same level.

The modern David and Goliath

Tom Egelhoff (Tip No.142), owner of smalltownmarketing.com, says one of his clients didn’t throw in the towel when the big box stores came to town. Instead, he beat them at their own game. How? By charging less for popular products than the big guys did. Are you wondering how he still turned a profit? While a small company can’t compete with a big chain on price for every product every day, it can beat them on price for a few hours on a few products on a given day. “Once you’ve got them into your small town store,” Tom said “then you can get them to return by showing off your better customer service, your more convenient location and the other competitive advantages that make small-business shopping more enjoyable.”

Monday, October 29

‘It's Your Business’: Getting your company off the ground

As the host of MSNBC’s “Your Business” and a seasoned entrepreneur, JJ Ramberg provides the tools to lift your business to the next level in “It’s Your Business.” Here's an excerpt.

INTRODUCTION

My name is JJ Ramberg, and I am an entrepreneur. I was born into a family of entrepreneurs. I'm married to an entrepreneur. I host a national television show about entrepreneurs for an audience of entrepreneurs. And, when I'm not doing that, I help run my own business which I co-founded with my brother Ken Ramberg, called GoodSearch.com. Even many of my closest friends are entrepreneurs. And my guess is, if you just picked up this book, you've got a good streak of entrepreneurship running through your veins too.

This book is a collection of some of the smartest, most practical, and easy to understand business advice out there. It’s straightforward information that you don't need a business school degree to understand, and you don't need to be a Fortune 500 company to use. And believe me, thanks to these past six years of hosting Your Business on MSNBC, I've heard it all and seen it all — in action. This stuff works. Period. It’s worked for the people who figured it out, and in many cases, it’s worked for me at my own company. And while some of it is just plain common sense, much of it is highly original and extremely clever.

Since I started hosting MSNBC’s Your Business in 2006, my colleagues and I have interviewed thousands of entrepreneurs to find out what they've learned about running their own companies. And honestly, no two individuals are alike. I've spoken with sole proprietors working out of their own basements to people who pay the salaries of hundreds of employees working in large industrial facilities. I've met people funded by venture capitalists risking millions, angel investors risking hundreds of thousands and plenty more who have funded their own ventures with nothing more than their life savings or a second mortgage on their home. And when you look at the industries they represent, they are all over the map. A random sample might include a dry-cleaner in Pittsburgh, a tech startup in Seattle, a restaurant in Manhattan, a real estate firm in Phoenix, a head-hunter in New Orleans, a hot air balloon operator in Napa, a dog sled ride company in Aspen, a bank in Boston, a wedding planner in Chicago... the list is very, very long. But the common denominator is that each of these small business owners has had to confront and solve many different kinds of problems in all areas of business in order to survive and grow.

No matter where we are or what business we are in, I have found that there is one true quality which all of us entrepreneurs share — we are a very determined bunch! Even in the heart of the 2008 recession, I met people who simply did not have the words "I give up" in their vocabulary. We are people who, when you tell us "No!” we think "No for now." Tell us "Impossible!" and what we hear is "Impossible for now." We are go-getters who make things happen for ourselves, for our employees, and for our communities.

We are a very practical group and we generally don't settle. We are always on the lookout for the fastest, simplest, least wasteful and efficient way to get the best results for the least effort, money and resources. We also don't spend a lot of time regretting our mistakes. In fact, many of our best ideas have come to us as lessons learned from huge mistakes. And those ideas, those tips, those hard-earned insights are what we've collected and organized into this book.

As both a reporter/writer of this book, and a self-employed entrepreneur, I find myself in the position of both receiving and then using much of the advice collected here. Receiving it -- as a journalist with a national audience of small business owners -- and then using it in the day-to-day operation of my own business, GoodSearch.com. I cannot tell you how often I've come away from one of my interviews with scribbles on the side of my notebook, reminding me to try out what that person is doing when I get back home to GoodSearch. These scribbles run the gamut from how to change someone’s “no” into a “yes” (see Tip #102 and #103) to how to stand (literally – where to exactly put my feet!) when I’m giving a presentation when I want to impress (see Tip #40).

‘Who I Am’: Rock icon Pete Townshend tells his story ‘Heaven Changes Everything’: How belief impacted a family The sequel to ‘The Giver’ is finally here ‘Killing Kennedy’: The crime that changed America Prom: An American rite of passage
That’s where this book comes in. This book is basically a detailed look into these scribbles. It’s filled with all of those “tricks of the trade” that people who are in the trenches every day – who are doing the things all small business owners do such as hire people, develop pricing schedules, negotiate deals -- have created to help them with these tasks. Many are things that we’re not doing because we just didn’t think of them before. Many are things we know we should be doing, but haven’t had the time to figure out how. We’ll tell you how.

Indeed, I’ve learned a great deal from the advice we’ve collected. For example, in Tip 116, Josh Brookhart of TZG Partners provides insight on getting your customers to give you feedback on a product launch. As you’ll see, I fortuitously spoke to Josh a week before a new GoodSearch launch and it totally changed the way we handled the introduction with our users. Other times I didn’t get the advice before doing something, but immediately changed my practices once I heard it. For example, Katherine Corp’s Tip #110 has completely informed the way I talk to customers and potential partners.

This book is written with two of the producers of Your Business – Lisa Everson and Frank Silverstein. You can imagine, with thousands of interviews under our belt, we had an enormous pool of tips and advice to choose from. But we were picky in deciding which ones to include. Every single tip in this book is practical, actionable, easy to implement and will help your business succeed. You can read one and make the change in your business that very day! We ran each tip by our informal focus group of small business owners to make sure their reaction was, “Wow, that’s so smart, I have to start doing that in my company.” Or, “Wow, I can’t believe I’m not doing that already!”

Keep in mind, this not a comprehensive how-to-start-and-grow-your-business kind of book. If you’re looking for that, there are plenty of books out there that fill that need. We clearly do not cover every single thing you need to know to run a business and we didn’t try.

It's a Boy for Hawaii Five-0's Alex O'Loughlin Britney Spears's Mom Lynne Recounts Painful Times at Trial Nanny Stabbed Herself in Front of Mom after Attack on Kids: Cops Nikki Reed Encourages Showering Together Survivor's Katie Hanson: Jeff Probst 'Had It Out for Me'
What we did set out to do is put together a collection of “ah ha” moments – those magical discoveries in your business where you think, “Oh, that’s a much better way to do it!’ Most of these tips are not big picture – they’re very focused and very actionable. And, they’re all easy to digest and quick to read.

Using myself as the prime example, most entrepreneurs do not have the luxury of time. My co-authors are always making fun of me saying that I’m usually in such a hurry that when I call them, I simply say “Hi, it’s J” instead of “JJ,” saving exactly one second. To that end, we decided not to spend 10 pages on a piece of advice when we could get the point across in one paragraph.

You don’t need to read this book in the order it was written – and as a matter of fact, you probably shouldn’t. Poke around. Flip open to a page and see what you find. Or, if you’re focusing on an area of your business right now, head over to that section. If you have a meeting with your sales team coming up, go straight to Chapter Six on “Closing the Sale”; if you’re wondering about your management style, go to Chapter Three -- “Being The Leader.” Or, if you’re just starting your company, you may want to begin with Chapter Two and read on to see how others are getting things right.

I started my company, GoodSearch.com in 2005. It was a typical start-up, founded out of my one-bedroom apartment in New York City. GoodSearch is a portal which gives people the tools to transform everyday actions like searching the internet, shopping online and dining out, into ways to support your favorite charity or school. More than 15 million people have used GoodSearch and we've raised around $10 million dollars for good causes. Together with my brother and co-founder Ken, I’ve dealt with all of the issues we touch on in this book. I’ve had to contemplate what kind of funding to get; how to fire someone; how to find office space; how to get potential partners who had never heard of us to take a meeting. After five years of running the company ourselves, we hired Scott Garell, the former president of Ask.com, to be our CEO, at which time we dealt with issues of how to grow at the right speed. You’ll hear a lot about my experiences as an entrepreneur in the following pages. Throughout our research and writing, I have used many, many of the tips in my own business. I’m quite sure you will do the same!

JJ Ramberg

TIP #40

Improve self-confidence by standing differently

The Problem: You’re about to attend a high-pressure meeting or make an important presentation. There are a lot of touchy issues -- and a tough audience. You need to be calm and confident and you are feeling anything but….

The Solution: Prepare for your presentation by spending five minutes before the meeting standing in certain positions and moving your body in certain simple exercises.

Yes, we get it, to many of you, this sounds ridiculous. How could holding your body in certain poses help make you more confident? Well, it does. Amy Cuddy, an assistant professor at Harvard Business School, and Dana Carney who is at UC Berkeley have studied this extensively and they found that positioning yourself in specific ways releases testosterone into your body (for both men and women) which in turn makes you more confident. Their tests also show that the stances they describe lower the level of cortisol in your system which reduces stress.

So, here are some exercises to do before going into an important meeting.

1. Stand in a pose which “takes up a lot of space” with your legs spread and with your arms out wide (illustration below)

2. Sit with your hands behind your head and your legs up on the desk “CEO style” (illustration below)

Amy told us that you should also resist the urge to do what you’d normally do before a stressful meeting: hunch over your cell phone while you’re sitting in the waiting room. If you do that, you lower your testosterone and increase your cortisol which increases stress – the exact opposite of what you want!

Tip: To see Amy teaching me these and other poses, click here.

TIP #147

Be the first one at every event

Problem: You’re invited to an event where there will be a lot of potential investors (or customers or marketing partners…), but you are a little shy and terrible at networking. Your instinct may be to arrive late so you’re not the first awkward person there.

Solution: Arrive exactly on time.

While, it may seem a bit uncomfortable to be one of the first people at a party, in reality, being one of those early birds makes it much easier to break the ice with the other early birds before everyone settles into little groups. Colleen DeBaise, the special projects editor for Entrepreneur Magazine who pointed this out to us, says it’s hard to break into a group of strangers who are already mid-conversation. It’s much easier when there are just a few people all feeling a bit awkward and you’re almost forced into a conversation with the other early arrivers.

How I use this: Though most people wouldn’t assume that I’m shy, I do have my moments…and I’ve certainly spent a lot of time pretending to write a very important email on the side of the room while really I’m just covering up for the fact that I can’t find anyone to talk to. What a waste of time! I’m much better starting a conversation with someone standing alone than navigating my way into a group of people I don’t know.

Suggestion: For people who are not very good at starting conversations, Eric Kaufman, a partner at Premier Sports & Entertainment, Inc. who has made a career out of being outgoing, told us that the best “pick up line” at a networking event is the “no pick-up, pick-up line.” He says, simply go up to someone and say “Hi, I’m <>.” Eric says you shouldn’t over think it. Just walk up and say hello. While you may get a few cold shoulders, most people are nice and just introducing yourself is the best icebreaker.

Suggestion Number Two: If you are shy or just don’t feel comfortable walking into a place where you don’t know anyone, make it easy on yourself. Call ahead and talk to the president or membership person. Tell them you are new to the event and ask if they would have someone meet you at the registration table and take you around to meet a few of the key members to get you started.

TIP #136

Create a personal story to connect with customers

How do you make your company stand out in a saturated market where everyone is providing a similar service or product? For example, there may be five nail salons within a couple of blocks of the one you just opened and most customers don’t know what differentiates one from another.

Often a real, personal connection or shared values with the owner of the business will bring the customer back. Charlena Miller, a marketing consultant from Portland, OR, says sharing your authentic story is a good vehicle for making that connection. But for your story to be most effective, it should have two key elements:

Part A: What inspired you to start this company?

The first part of the story should talk about your passion for your work. Why did you pick this business? Is it a family business? A hobby? A talent? Something you came to in order to answer a personal problem? Why does what you are doing mean something special to you?

Part B: What difference do you hope to make in other people's lives?

The second part of the story should talk about your customers. What do you want them to experience? Are you saving them time? Are you making them feel better about themselves and helping them enjoy life more? What are the customers’ needs that you are meeting?

Once you have answered those questions, you can craft your story by mixing the best parts of each. One note of caution – while people are interested in your short story, they may not be interested in your novel. So, try your story out on a couple of friends, as well as potential or current customers, to make sure it’s compelling before putting it out there for the world!

Case Study: Mark Bitterman and Jennifer Turner Bitterman opened a small shop in Portland, OR, featuring hundreds of different hand-made varieties of local and imported salt sold at prices many times the cost of salt sold in supermarkets. One of the key factors in their success is that they created a story that distinguishes their products from everything else on the market. Mark tells how he discovered his first artisanal salt at a roadside cafe while motorcycling through northern France at the age of 20. He had a steak seasoned with traditional French hand-made course sea salt, and the flavor was so personally life-changing that it prompted him to begin seeking out and collecting regionally made salts from around the world. When he opened his shop, his goal was share these exotic flavors gathered in places a remote as Tibet, Morocco, Hawaii, Peru, Djibouti, and Bali. He even wrote a book on salt explaining its history and offering regional recipes featuring these unusual salts.

Mark’s story transformed an ordinary kitchen staple into a romantic adventure. Who wouldn’t want to be a part of that? Watch the video

This is an excerpt from IT’S YOUR BUSINESS Copyright (c) 2012 by Jennifer Ramberg, Lisa Everson, and Frank Silverstein.

© 2012 MSNBC Interactive

Sunday, October 28

Jack Welch fires back over jobs report valve

Jack Welch fires back over jobs report valve

Lucas Jackson / Reuters

Jack Welch has comment on who fired back widely criticised over his latest jobs report journal writing in an op-ed in the Wall Street Wednesday, that is the reported US unemployment rate of 7.8 percent "absolutely implausible."

Jack Welch has Tweet fired back about his widely criticized on the latest jobs report journal writing in an op ed in the Wall Street Wednesday, that the reported US unemployment rate of 7.8 percent is "absolutely implausible."

The September jobs report released Friday morning, showed the nation unemployment rate slipped below 8 percent for the first time since President Barack Obama was inaugurated in January 2009.

The former Chief Executive of General Electric created stir through his Twitter account which to propose Obama management had the numbers to the President reelection chances increase manipulated. Welch's Tweet read:

"Incredibly pay jobs.."These Chicago guys will do everything..."Debate cannot change numbers."

The tweet gained widespread criticism from economists and financial media, from which some said that Welch was simply wrong comments.

But in his op-ed Welch Wednesday did respond to "those who want me to pipe down," say "7.8% unemployment by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) last week published almost is not credible." And that is why I made a stink about. "

Welch said it an exaggeration to claim that by the Bureau of labor statistics specifically questions about three important statistics threw "precise" and "are free of bias", and he collected data: Labor turnout, the increase in the Government employees and job growth.

These data points, "all multidecade records reached in the last two months" need "some eyebrows to raise", he said.

"There were no economists, liberal or conservative, predicting that unemployment would fall in September under 8 %" added, Welch.

"" I know I'm not the only person who heard this numbers and say: ' really?,'"he said."If all that is true, why have so many people I know still that hard work to find? "Why do I hear about local, State and federal cuts?"

Welch went on to write that the Obama campaign and his supporters "would, watching each her movements and specially trained, white gloves count as you believe that BLS data are treated like the gold at Fort Knox, with gun-carrying guards Super-agents and tells the hours."

The reality is the process far less scientific data are monthly unemployment to collect, he added, pointed out that it over a period of one week by the Census workers, from the phone in 70 percent of cases and the rest are collected through home visits. The possibility of subjectivity in the process is crawling everywhere, he said.

Welch said on Tuesday that he not continue for Fortune magazine to write, after the magazine was critical of his comments on the jobs report last Friday.

Look at the recent data on jobs, former GE Chairman and CEO Jack Welch says Larry Kudlow he is suspicious and numbers and explains why he so vocal about his skepticism been.

Saturday, October 27

Job openings edge lower, hiring rate accelerates

The number of job openings fell slightly in August, a troubling sign for a labor market that is recovering at a painfully slow pace.

Job openings - a measure of labor demand - dropped to 3.56 million from 3.59 million in July, the Labor Department said on Wednesday in its monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.

The data casts a small shadow over recent signs of improvement in the labor market.

Government data last week showed the U.S. unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 7.8 percent in September, its lowest level since President Barack Obama took office. That was seen as providing a boost to Obama's re-election bid.

Wednesday's data, however, showed workers were still very cautious about the strength of the economic recovery. The rate at which workers are quitting their jobs held steady in August at 1.6 percent for the seventh straight month.

That rate, which measure the share of the employed who quit their jobs, was usually above 2 percent over the few years before the 2007-09 recession.

In a brighter sign, the recent improvement in the unemployment rate, which also dropped in August, has left fewer unemployed workers chasing each job opening, despite the drop in new positions.

In August, there were 3.52 unemployed workers for every job opening, down from 3.56 in July. Still, before the start of the last recession that ratio was below 2 workers for every opening.

The hiring rate also improved modestly in August, rising to 3.3 percent.

Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters.

Friday, October 26

As the temperatures drop, heating costs rise

As the temperatures drop, heating costs rise

Jeffrey Hamilton / Getty Images

With winter coming on and the temperatures fall U.S. homeowners will see their heating bills to rise in the coming months.

By Jonathan Fahey associated press
Americans to heat their homes this winter, feel that something felt they are not much of last year pay more: cold.

Fuel prices are relatively stable, but customers need to use more energy, keep warm than even a year ago after the annual winter fuels Outlook by the energy information administration of the U.S. Department of energy.

Last winter was the warmest on record. Temperatures this year are expected to be close to normal.

Creation of heating bills for heating oil customers 20 percent, 15 percent for natural gas customers, rising 13 percent for propane customers and 5 percent for electricity customers, the energy information Administration announced today.

Fuel oil, customers should oil prices always pay the highest heating. This will lead record heating bills, with an average of $2,494. That's high, set in the winter of 2010 almost $200 more than the previous.

Customers who use natural gas, electricity or propane will see lower bills, as they have in the previous typical winters - also with the increase in comparison with the previous year - because the prices are relatively low.

"It's two different worlds." "For most families is, that this still goes on an affordable year, with the exception of those who use oil heat," said Mark Wolfe, Executive Director of the national energy assistance Directors Association. "For them, it will be very difficult."

Only 6 percent of the country's households use heating oil, but they tend to in some of the coldest parts of the country, where the heating requirements are high. This is mainly in the Northeast. Natural gas use for heat and 38 percent electricity about half of the houses in the region. Five per cent of households use propane and 2 percent wood.

Natural gas prices are $10.32 per thousand cubic metres average. This is 0.8% higher than in the previous year but 13 percent below the five year average. Electricity prices will fall 2.3 percent to 11.4 cents per kilowatt hour. Propane prices fall 8 percent in the Midwest to $2.02 per gallon and 13 percent in the northeast to $2.95 per gallon.

Prices are relatively low, due to a dramatic increase in domestic natural gas production in the last five years natural gas, propane and electricity. Natural gas is used to power generate about one-third of the country, and it is instrumental in determining the price of electricity. Recently, drills have increased production of so-called natural gas liquids including propane.

Heating oil is a record-high of $3.80 per gallon average, because it is made from petroleum. Crude oil costs worldwide and has stayed high due to increasing world demand, fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East and economic programmes of central banks around the world, the promotion of investment in oil and other commodities.

But the year's increase is because forecasters expect a typical winter. East of the Rocky Mountains, weather is expected to be about 2 percent warmer than normal but 20 to 27 percent colder than last year. In the West, temperatures were closer to normal last year so the expected increase in for this winter is only 1 percent.

Thursday, October 25

To develop economy, says fed

Wal-Mart Announces same-day delivery service in his latest attempt to capture Amazon's business. NBC Chris Clackum reports.

Touted sales today help strong sales at its U.S. grocery store and a great start to holiday Layaway Wal-Mart Stores Inc., to send shares of the world's largest traders on an all-time high.

Wal-Mart has put lined up holiday season $400 million in US Layaway sales in less than a month, half of the amount shoppers for all the 2011 on ice. This comes as the chain of concerted push to shoppers before the typical start of the holiday season to lure makes.

Shares of Wal-Mart reached as high as today 76,81 and closed at $75,42, its annual meeting with analysts and investors instead, which aired as the company over the Internet.

Wal-Mart United States plans, more than twice as many of its neighborhood market grocery stores in the United States more pressure on grocers by fiscal 2016, ¤ ft such as Kroger Co, Safeway Inc. and SUPERVALU Inc.

The stores, which are smaller than conventional Super Center and focus on food, have more profitable as Wal-Mart adds more of them. For existing neighborhood market store sales at a rate of more than 5 percent, or double the rate of overall Wal-Mart US chain.

"they kind of keys to the Castle now have," said Susquehanna Financial Group analyst Bob summers, who has a "buy" evaluation on Wal-Mart from the neighborhood market format.

Wal-Mart should more than 240 neighborhood market end fiscal year 2013 ends in January, and more than 500 tax 2016 stores adding more than 10 billion ultimately $ sales of company's US Chief Bill Simon said.

Meet in the year since the last investor has recovered Wal-Mart US arm, by far the largest business, from a prolonged slump. At the same time its international activities under the microscope have taken, the times article to a New York in April over alleged bribery on its Mexican unit.

Investors have the bribery probe, dismissed, which already Wal-Mart tens of millions of dollars, took as takes it, a closer look at the operations around the globe. Shares of Wal-Mart are about 22 percent since shortly before the New York Times story was published, with a 3 percent rise in the Dow Jones industrial average, compared the Wal-Mart is a component.

More than half of Wal-Mart shares are owned by the family of founder Sam Walton.

Large orders for the holiday season

Wal-Mart United States prepares for a strong holiday season, order, twice as many iPads from Apple Inc. and Duncan Mac Naughton, head of merchandising and marketing officer at Wal-Mart United States said other tablet computers like last year,

The company started also a Layaway of mid-September, a month earlier than it did when the service, again started offering it in 2011. With Layaway can buyers in the purchase of certain articles to put it on hold and they pay over the course of time.

"they could conceivably do 50 percent more Layaway this year than in the previous year" the has the potential, half a percentage point, the same sales growth, memory add, Susquehanna analyst Summers said.

Wal-Mart United States has now four consecutive quarters of same store sales growth after nine straight quarterly declines, although the pace of growth slowed to 2.2 percent in the second quarter from 2.6 percent in the first quarter released. The pace of the same storage quarterly sales growth routes nor competitors such as target Corp. and dollar General Corp.

Plans for Wal-Mart US of this holiday season include, offering sales prices on certain toys Tuesday due to feedback weekend of social media followers and with 100 "Twitter Elves" to help with marketing and customer service on the popular microblogging site. That said Sam's Club warehouse chain, holiday season plans include children place merchandise in their stores sell Sam's Club CEO Rosalind Brewer.

Wal-Mart almost everywhere winning market share, it is running, stores and still its international business as the engine of growth despite his decision looks to slow down the pace of store openings in some important countries, said CEO Mike Duke.

Duke also said that he believes that the company "plays to win in a very real way now" in e-commerce. He said he pleased with Wal-Mart advances in online search and other areas.

Wal-Mart still plans to open more stores around the world, but as this year announced it, it slows down the pace of store openings in Brazil, China and Mexico. In Brazil and China has Wal-Mart said that he would like to work on the improvements in its hundreds of shops. Meanwhile, the store process has permission from Mexico, where its local partners more than 2,000 sites has slowed down and be had bribed more complex following allegations that Government officials speed up the company approvals.

Wal-Mart United States plans about add, 205 fiscal year 2014 in this fiscal year and approximately 220-240 stores. Open Sam's Club plans, nine stores this year and next year of 10 to 15.

Wal-Mart international plans to add 21 million to 23 million square meters of space in the year 2013, down from an original target of 30 million. You plans to add another 20 million to 22 million square metres of space in fiscal 2014.

Wednesday, October 24

Stocks drop after Alcoa loss, Chevron warning

Updated at 4:02 p.m. ET: Stocks fell sharply Wednesday, a day after the earnings season opened with Alcoa posting a quarterly net loss and Chevron saying profits would fall sharply in its most recent period.

After hitting lows in the early afternoon, stocks briefly trimmed losses after the Federal Reserve said in its Beige Book report that the economy was expanding modestly.

Shares of Alcoa slid and weighed on the Dow industrials following the U.S. aluminum producer's report late Tuesday of a quarterly net loss, which it linked to a slump in the price of aluminum and weak demand.

Chevron Corp shares fell and were the biggest drag on the S&P 500 after the second-largest U.S. oil company said third-quarter profits would be "substantially lower" than in the previous quarter. Chevron said a hurricane and planned maintenance had curtailed its oil and gas output, while a fire hurt its refining business.

"I think the poor earnings for the third quarter are baked into the market. If that were the only issue I think there would be limited downside," said William Delwiche, investment strategist at Robert W. Baird & Co in Milwaukee.

"But what matters now is the outlook for the fourth quarter and 2013. So far it seems to be one of more caution, and if that trend continues that could be a headwind for stocks."

The S&P 500 index saw its fourth day of declines on worries about deteriorating profits due to weak global demand. S&P 500 companies' third-quarter earnings are expected to fall 2.9 percent from a year ago, which would be the first decline in three years, according to Thomson Reuters data.

The Fed's Beige Book said consumer spending, prices and employment conditions have changed little since the last report in late August but that the overall economy had expanded modestly, with most districts seeing strengthened home sales in the last month.

"The Beige Book can help us trade higher once we get through this nervous period," said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. "There's a lot of negative sentiment in the market after what was three, even four straight weeks of gains."

The larger economic backdrop is also casting a shadow. The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank recently cut their global outlooks as the Eurpoean debt crisis drags on.

Shares of Yum Brands Inc climbed and ranked as the S&P 500's best performer. Yum, the parent company of KFC, Taco Bell and other fast-food restaurant chains, raised its full-year profit forecast after sales in China held up despite slowing growth in that market.

Shares of Wal-Mart Stores Inc, a Dow component, hit an all-time high after Chief Executive Officer Mike Duke said the retailer was gaining widespread market share.

Warehouse chain Costco Wholesale Corp reported a 27 percent jump in quarterly profit on higher sales and membership fees.

Engine maker Cummins Inc lowered its 2012 forecast for a second time this year and said it would cut up to 1,500 jobs.

FedEx Corp said it plans to cut costs at its underperforming express air freight and services divisions, with a goal of improving profits at those operations by $1.7 billion over the next four years. Reuters contributed to this report.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Tuesday, October 23

Apple shares tumble, but analysts still bullish

Shaw Wu, Sterne Agee senior technology analyst, thinks Apple's 10 percent correction makes it "right to get back in" the stock.

Shares of Apple have tumbled as much as 11.6 percent from their recent iPhone 5 high, but analysts remain bullish about the company’s long-term prospects.

Apple shares fell 2.3 percent in morning trading Tuesday, putting the stock in correction territory, broadly defined as when a share price has fallen more than 10 percent.

Apple’s shares began falling after they reached an all-time high of $705.07 on Sept. 21 -- the day the iPhone 5 was launched.

Despite the recent losses it’s worth remembering that Apple’s share price has been on a roll so far this year.

Apple moved above $700 for the first time ever on Sept. 18, and the stock is up an impressive 21.1 percent since hitting a recent closing low on May 17.

“In the near-term, there’s definitely some consolidation in the name,” Shaw Wu, technology analyst at Sterne Agee, told CNBC.

“Negative headlines out there, including Foxconn and minor complaints about the iPhone 5, are also causing some concern in the company,” Wu added. “Broader concerns with the economy are not helping either.”

Apple’s declining share price has also weighed on the broader market, as the company’s stock accounts for nearly 20 percent of the Nasdaq 100 index and almost 5 percent of the S&P 500 index.

Brian Marshall, analyst at ISI Group, is optimistic about the outlook for Apple’s stock.

“Fundamentals are moving in the right direction and this is one of those periods where we see a consolidation,” he told CNBC. “The stock continues to have legs so I think we’ll get up into $700.”

Monday, October 22

Small business owners growing more pessimistic

Small business owners grew more pessimistic about the outlook for the economy during September as employment and sales remained weak.

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said on Tuesday its optimism index fell 0.1 point to 92.8 last month.

The decline is a sign that the U.S. economy is taking a hit from uncertainty over the possibility of tax hikes and government spending cuts next year, said William Dunkelberg, chief economist at the NFIB.

“Owners are in maintenance mode -- spending only where necessary and not hiring, expanding or ordering more inventories until the future becomes more certain,” Dunkelberg said.

Dunkelberg said uncertainty over the outcome of the upcoming Presidential election is also probably hurting sentiment.

The U.S. economy has grown at a lackluster pace this year, which has reduced President Barack Obama's chances of winning the November 6 election. Opinion polls point to a very tight race between Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney.

And looming over the economic outlook, the federal government is scheduled to tighten its belt severely in January unless lawmakers pass an alternative plan.

The survey did have some bright spots. The number of owners who believe this is a good time to expand their companies rose 3 percentage points. And the number of owners who expect business conditions to improve in six months gained 4 points.

But the number of business owners who plan to create jobs fell 3 points, while the number who plan to reduce their payrolls rose 2 points. More than a fifth of the survey's participants said weak sales are their biggest business problem.

The survey’s findings are in line with results from other small business surveys that show business owners are cautious.

The payroll service company ADP said last week that small businesses slowed their pace of hiring during September. There have been mixed readings on how much owners are willing to borrow, but the conflicting signals do point to small companies being very careful about spending for hiring or expansion.

The Associated Press and Reuters contributed to this report.

Sunday, October 21

Calif. Governor takes action as gas prices surge

Now that refiners have been given the go-ahead to process a less expensive fuel blend, the average price of gasoline in California should go down about 15 cents a gallon. NBC's Brian Williams reports.

California Governor Jerry Brown is taking action in an effort to drive down the cost of gasoline as the state’s drivers cope with record-breaking prices at the pump.

For the third straight day Monday, the statewide average price for a gallon of regular rose to an all-time high, hitting $4.668, according to AAA.

That topped Sunday's price of $4.655 and Saturday's price of $4.6140, which broke the previous record high of $4.6096 per gallon set on June 19, 2008.

Brown on Sunday ordered state smog regulators to allow winter-blend gasoline to be sold in California earlier than usual to bring down prices. Winter-blend gas typically isn't sold until after Oct. 31. Few refineries outside the state are currently making summer-blend gas, putting the pressure on already-taxed California manufacturers.

Calif. Governor takes action as gas prices surge

Gary Kazanjian / AP

Luis Cuevas changes the gas prices at the Shell station off California State Route 99 as truckers deal with rising gas prices in Fresno, Calif.

A temporary reduction in supply has meant that in recent days California’s gas prices have surpassed those in Hawaii to become the highest in the nation.

In some locations, fuming motorists paid $5 or more per gallon while station owners had to shut down pumps in others.

A station in Long Beach had California's priciest gas at $6.65 for a gallon of regular, according to GasBuddy.com. Meanwhile customers at an outlet in San Pablo paid just $3.49, the lowest price in the state.

The average for a gallon of regular was $4.69 in Los Angeles, $4.71 in San Diego and San Francisco, $4.55 in Sacramento and $4.90 in Santa Barbara, according to GasBuddy.com.

The average price for a gallon of gas in the United States rose less than half a cent over the past two weeks, masking a decline in most regions and a sharp spike in California prices, according to a widely followed survey.

Gasoline prices averaged $3.8375 on Oct. 5, up from $3.8338 on Sept. 21, Trilby Lundberg, editor of the Lundberg Survey, said on Sunday.

Prices were down about 3 to 12 cents in most markets except the West, she said.

The Associated Press and Reuters contributed to this report.

In California, the average price per gallon of gas climbed 12 cents overnight to $4.61, matching the state record set in June 2008. Meanwhile, prices in other parts of the state are falling – so why are Californians getting hit so hard? NBC's Diana Alvear reports.

Saturday, October 20

Middle class, whatever it is, targeted by candidates

What is the middle class, anyway? There's no official definition, but Americans and their leaders seem to know it when they see it.

And after five tough years of a recession and slow economy, there's plenty of evidence that fewer people see a middle-class life when they look in the mirror.

“You can’t define middle class, but you can ask people, ‘Do you still feel middle class?’ And more and more people don’t,” said Tim Smeeding, director of the Institute for Research on Poverty at the University of Wisconsin.

Still, as election season heats up, that’s not stopping many politicians from promising to help the middle class, whoever they may be.

"The whole attraction of middle class … is it doesn’t mean anything," said Dennis Gilbert, a sociology professor at Hamilton College who studies class issues. "Middle class means anybody who might vote for you."

The focus on the middle class starts at the top of the ticket, where President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney have both repeatedly invoked the middle class in their quest to win the presidency next month.

Obama told voters during last week's debate that he cut taxes for middle-class families “because I believe that we do best when the middle class is doing well.”

Then he questioned whether Romney had the same dedication to the middle class.

“And at some point, I think the American people have to ask themselves, is the reason that Governor Romney is keeping all these plans to replace secret because they're too good? Is it -- is it because that somehow middle-class families are going to benefit too much from them?” Obama said, according to a transcript provided by the Commission on Presidential Debates.

Romney argued that Obama’s policies have hurt the middle class and would continue to do so.

“There's no question in my mind that if the president were to be re-elected you'll continue to see a middle-class squeeze with incomes going down and prices going up,” he said during the debate. “I'll get incomes up again.”

The traditional political focus on the middle class comes as fewer people feel like they’re still part of it. A Pew Research Center report this year found that 49 percent of people define themselves as middle class, down from 53 percent from four years ago.

“Statistically, that’s a significant shift, but beyond statistics it feels right,” said Rich Morin, a senior editor with Pew Research Center. “It’s been a tough four years.”

In fact, Morin said, Americans’ sense of how the middle part of the economic spectrum is doing is surprisingly accurate. The polling data on whether Americans feel like they are still part of the middle class matches well with the researchers’ economic data on median income in the United States, which has fallen in recent years after adjusting for inflation.

Still, experts say the term middle class has a cultural connotation that goes beyond the number on your paycheck or tax stub.

Kevin Leicht, director of the Iowa Social Science Research Center at the University of Iowa, said many Americans think of a middle-class life as being one in which you have a stable job, own your own home and occasionally buy something substantial like a new car. You also either went to college or have the aspiration of sending your children to college.

Beyond that, he said, the term middle class invokes the type of person who gets married and has kids, pays their bills on time, doesn’t get in trouble with the law and maybe goes to church.

“In the United States, it’s probably more of a cultural category than an economic one,” he said.

He thinks Americans’ affinity for the middle class also comes partly from a natural suspicion for both the richest and the poorest Americans. Audacious wealth has traditionally been frowned upon in this country, he said, while there’s also often a fear-based bias against people who are poor.

“Because a lot of us are two missed paychecks away from being in exactly the same position, we have to act like there’s something systematically wrong with people who are in that position,” Leicht said.

The sense of a shrinking middle class also comes amid evidence that the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer, discouraging many Americans.

“They are aware that economic inequality is growing. And a majority – a substantial majority – say it’s a bad thing,” Morin said. “Everyone aspires to be upper class, but people are aware that as more Americans move up into the upper class, more Americans are moving down, and that’s not a good thing.”

The big question now is whether Americans’ discouraged attitudes about the middle class will change if the economic recovery starts to pick up.

In general, experts say that history would show that Americans will grow more optimistic about the middle class, and the American dream, as economic conditions improve. But, they note, this recession and weak recovery has been different from any other we’ve experienced in recent decades, and the future remains uncertain.

“I’m sure a strong recovery would help, but that’s a ways off,” Smeeding said. “Our standard of living is lower now than it was in 2006.”

Readers, how do you define a middle class life and do you think you are living it? Send me an e-mail, including contact information, and and we’ll use some of your responses in an upcoming story.

Mitt Romney's campaign has released a new ad suggesting President Obama would raise taxes on the middle class. Vice President Joe Biden went on the defensive saying the president would raise taxes, but not on the middle class. The Washington Post's Eugene Robinson joins a Friday wrap-up analyzing the first presidential debate of 2012.

Friday, October 19

Earnings may not matter to new breed of investor

By BERNARD CONDON, Associated Press
Another type of investor buys when everyone thinks that earnings will rise. He buys because he thinks they'll rise even more than expected. Call him the eternal optimist.

Now, the 3?-year-old bull market may have produced a third type of investor, an undiscovered breed with a curious strategy for success: He expects earnings to fall but buys anyway because he hopes it won't matter.

Call him the blind-faith investor. Or maybe just blind.

"How do you explain where the stock market is?" Barclays Capital stock strategist Barry Knapp said last week as the Standard & Poor's 500 inched higher yet again. "Stock prices are not warranted by the fundamentals."

The financial reporting season begins Tuesday, when Alcoa announces third-quarter results. Brace yourself: For three months, stock prices have risen while, in seeming contradiction, Wall Street analysts have slashed estimates for earnings.

Earnings for July through September are expected to drop 1.3 percent compared with a year earlier for S&P 500 companies, according to S&P Capital IQ, a research firm.

That would break an 11-quarter streak of rising earnings that began just after the Great Recession ended three and a half years ago. Earlier this year, analysts had expected earnings for the quarter to rise 7 percent.

To be fair to the bulls, it's generally future quarters that investors should be most concerned about, not the one that just passed. That's a time-honored rule of investing.

But analysts have been cutting estimates for those quarters, too. They've lowered forecasts for earnings growth for each of the next two quarters by a third since the summer, and as much as half since the beginning of the year.

The bad news started in July, when UPS, the world's largest package delivery company, said the global economy was slowing and lowered its 2012 profit forecast as a result.

Then FedEx said that shipping volume had fallen to recession levels, and that investors should expect lower earnings. Norfolk Southern, the giant railroad company, cut its forecast, too.

The flurry of so-called negative pre-announcements ranged across industries — from steel maker Nucor Corp. and Applied Materials Inc., which sells semiconductor-chip-making machines, to Starbucks and Tiffany & Co.

On Tuesday, Fifth & Pacific, the company behind Juicy Couture products, said sales were weakening and it was likely to report lower earnings than expected, too. Investors pushed its stock down 11 percent in just a day.

Tally it up and 78 percent of companies issuing pre-announcements have suggested they will disappoint, according to FactSet, a financial data provider. That is the worst reading since FactSet began keeping records six years ago.

The problem is companies are running out of ways to increase earnings. You can see that in the results for the previous quarter, from April through June. Earnings for companies in the S&P 500 barely rose from a year earlier, just 0.8 percent.

U.S. economic growth has slowed to an annual rate of 1.3 percent, practically stall speed. Meanwhile, the old formula that companies have used to compensate — pulling more profit out of each sale by trying to run leaner — suddenly isn't working.

You can only cut expenses and squeeze workers so much, and many companies seem to have reached the limit. Profit margins are falling for the first time in the recovery, after hitting a record of nearly 9 percent, according to Goldman Sachs.

The other way U.S. companies have posted higher profits is by selling more abroad. But many of the 17 countries that use the euro have fallen into recession. And developing countries are facing headwinds now, too. China, India and Brazil are slowing. On Wednesday, the Asian Development Bank slashed its growth forecast for emerging economies this year and next.

So what's kept stocks rising? One theory is loose monetary policy.

The Federal Reserve announced last month a third round of bond-buying to try to stimulate the economy. That followed a bold plan by the European Central Bank to buy government bonds of struggling countries in its region.

"Central banks have single-handedly kept asset prices elevated," said Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at trading firm Miller Tabak Advisors. "It's certainly not the economy. It's certainly not the trajectory of earnings."

To be sure, analysts have been too pessimistic before, and investors who ignored them made money. Analysts expected earnings to fall in the first quarter of 2012, but they didn't. Those who bought the S&P 500 at the start of the year are up 16 percent.

And even if analysts are right and earnings fall, you can still make money buying stocks, though history suggests it's risky.

In the 46 quarters since the start of 2001, earnings for the S&P 500 have fallen 15 times. Seven of those times, stock prices rose the following three months, sometimes spectacularly.

In the first quarter of 2009, S&P 500 earnings plunged 35 percent. Yet investors who were brave enough to buy stocks enjoyed an S&P 500 gain of 15 percent over the next three months. If they held on after that, they doubled their money.

Similarly, investors won big who bought after the third quarter of 2001, when earnings fell 23 percent. Stocks rose 10 percent the following three months. But unlike in 2009, the next few quarters produced losses as earnings kept plunging. Stocks dropped for the next three quarters, in one of them by 18 percent.

Investors shrugging off disappointing earnings now are hoping the current period resembles 2009. But it's not a sure bet, and they may end up getting something closer to 2001 instead.

Thursday, October 18

Consumers, after brief rest, start saying 'charge it' again

WASHINGTON -- U.S. consumer credit rebounded strongly in August after posting its first decline in nearly a year in July, Federal Reserve data showed on Friday.

The rebound would likely be interpreted as a short-term boon to growth, though it could bode ill for household balance sheets if it is not accompanied by a rise in real wages, which have been stagnant.

U.S. consumer credit rose $18.12 billion, the biggest gain since May, following July's revised $2.45 billion decline. Revolving credit, which mostly measures credit-card use, climbed $4.2 billion. Nonrevolving credit, which includes student and auto loans, rose $13.92 billion.

Credit has been expanding almost continuously since mid-2010 as the country recovered from the 2007-2009 recession. The decline in July was the first drop since August of last year.

A sharp drop in the U.S. jobless rate to 7.8 percent in September, reported on Friday by the Labor Department, suggested the economic recovery, while weak, continues to muddle along. (Reporting By Pedro Nicolaci da Costa; Editing by Neil Stempleman)

Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters.

Wednesday, October 17

Jobless rate drop no surprise, despite political racket

The news Friday that the unemployment rate fell sharply to 7.8 percent just one month before the next presidential election heartened some observers and shocked others.

When you turn down the volume on all the political noise surrounding the report, however, what comes through is that the U.S. economy remains locked in a period of slow, steady job growth.

“It’s consistent with a slowly improving labor market where a few extra people are coming into the labor market,” said Joel Naroff, economist with Naroff Economic Advisors.

To understand why many economists might have that reaction, it helps to look at how the Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates its job market data – and why economists pay much more attention to long-term trends than the month-to-month changes that tend to dominate political rhetoric.

The unemployment data comes from two sources.

The first is a representative household survey of about 60,000 American households, which is conducted monthly.

The researchers count people as employed if they have worked in the past week, and they are considered unemployed if they haven’t worked but have actively looked for work in the past four weeks. The unemployment rate is not calculated based on who is collecting unemployment benefits.

The household survey, from which that 7.8 percent unemployment rate was calculated, is considered valuable because it includes self-employed people and others who might not show up in the payroll survey.

That’s the second source of data for the unemployment report. It’s compiled from a survey of about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, which account for about one-third of all nonfarm payroll employees.

That’s the data that is used to calculate the payroll figure, which in Friday’s report showed that nonfarm payroll employment rose by 114,000 in September.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics takes great pains to warn people that only relatively large changes in each set of data are considered statistically significant. For the payroll survey, a change of about 100,000 is considered statistically significant, and for the household survey a statistically significant change would be about 400,000, according to the BLS.

“The labor force numbers do bounce violently around,” Naroff said.

For example, Naroff noted, the civilian labor force grew by 418,000 in September, but it shrank by 368,000 in August. If you look over a long period, the trend is much more stable, with slightly more than 1 million people in the labor force than a year earlier.

That’s why even though politicians may focus on month-to-month changes, economists are often more interested in the long-term trends. In that context, Friday’s employment report number was consistent with a labor market that has slowly and painfully been working its way back to life.

“This is encouraging stuff,” said Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist with Capital Economics.

Ashworth noted that the unemployment rate has fallen by half a percentage point in the last two months, from 8.3 percent to 7.8 percent. But the unemployment rate was also at 8.3 percent in January, and it is down from 9 percent a year earlier. He said it’s not uncommon for job market data to move out of step with other economic data.

In a research note, economist Dean Baker with the liberal-leaning Center for Economic and Policy Research noted that it’s common to have big monthly swings in the employment data, and said the September report may well be a statistical fluke.

“Still,” he added, “this month’s numbers almost certainly indicate that the unemployment rate is moving downward, even if the speed is considerably slower than the latest data indicate.”

The White House released a statement Friday saying the employment report marked progress in the nation's slow economic recovery.

"While there is more work that remains to be done, today's employment report provides further evidence that the U.S. economy is continuing to heal from the wounds inflicted by the worst downturn since the Great Depression," said Alan Krueger, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

But the big drop in the unemployment rate had some conservatives crying foul about the accuracy of the data so close to the presidential election. Rep. Allen West, a Republican from Florida, was among those who accused Democrats of trying to make the unemployment situation look better than it is.

"Somehow by manipulation of data we are all of a sudden below 8 percent unemployment, a month from the Presidential election," West said on his Facebook page.

U.S. Labor Secretary Hilda Solis said all the talk about data manipulation was absurd. "I'm insulted when I hear that, because we have a very professional civil service organization. These are our best trained and most skilled individuals," Solis told CNBC. "It's really ludicrous to hear that kind of statement."

It’s not uncommon for unemployment figures to be revised later to reflect refinements in calculations, but economists said that's usually a result of a better understanding of the labor market, rather than any deliberate attempt to tweak the data.

“No mainstream economists, as far as I’m aware, would question whether the statistics have been deliberately manipulated,” Ashworth said.

Tuesday, October 16

Unemployment rate falls to 7.8 percent

The unemployment rate (red line) fell to its lowest level since January 2009, when President Barack Obama took office.

By NBC News staff and wire reports
UPDATED 9:50 a.m. EDT: The nation's unemployment rate dropped to the lowest it has been in almost four years in September, giving President Barack Obama a potential upbeat talking point as the presidential race heads into the final innings.

The Labor Department reported Friday that the unemployment rate fell to 7.8 percent in September, a decline of 0.3 percentage point and the lowest since January 2009. The government said the economy created 114,000 jobs, about as expected, and generated 86,000 more jobs in July and August than first estimated.

A survey of households from which the jobless rate is derived showed 873,000 job gains last month, the most since June 1983. The drop in unemployment came even as Americans come back into the labor force to resume the hunt for work. The workforce had shrunk in the prior two months. The household survey is volatile, however.

It was the second last report before the November 6 election that pits Obama against Republican Mitt Romney.

"It's a little confusing, to be honest with you. The number of jobs created wasn't that high but the unemployment rate came down and the participation rate went up a little bit, so it's confusing. All in all, it doesn't change the trajectory of what the jobs environment has been really for the last year," said Ron Florance, managing director for investment strategy for Wells Fargo Private Bank.

The two numbers – the unemployment rate and the non-farm payrolls number – come from two separate reports done by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The unemployment report is based on the so-called Household Survey and it measures the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labor force. It is notoriously volatile and economists don’t put much stock in it, even though it often becomes the talking point for non-economists, politicians and pundits. It includes the unemployed who are out there actively seeking work and it excludes people who have left the work force and are not applying for jobs.

The non-farm payrolls number comes from the establishment survey and is considered more accurate.

“The rule of thumb when the two surveys tell different stories is to go with what the establishment survey says. However, the household survey provides reasons to be somewhat more optimistic about job opportunities for American workers,” said Heidi Shierholz, an economist for the liberal-leaning Economic Policy Institute.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Thursday after Wednesday's first presidential debate showed Romney gained ground and is now viewed positively by 51 percent of voters. Obama's favorability rating remained unchanged at 56 percent.

Economists blame the so-called fiscal cliff for the slowdown in business hiring, which has left millions of Americans working either part-time or unemployed and too discouraged to look for jobs.

The Congressional Budget Office has warned that a failure by Congress to avoid the automatic tax hikes and government spending cuts that will suck about $600 billion out of the economy next year would knock the economy back into recession.

"Businesses are not hiring people, they want to wait and see how the election evolves and how the political landscape shapes up," said Sung Won Sohn, an economics professor at California State University Channel Islands in Camarillo, California.

"Everyone has kind of battened down the hatches," Sohn said before the release of the report.

Persistently poor labor market conditions led the Federal Reserve in September to announce a plan to buy $40 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities each month until it sees a sustained turnaround in employment.

The central bank, which also pledged to keep overnight lending rates near zero until at least mid-2015, hopes the purchases drive down long-term borrowing costs and spur the recovery.

The Fed's ultra-easy stance has started to free up credit, giving a lift to consumers, economists said. That, in turn, helped lift retail hiring in September.

Temporary help jobs, which are often seen as a harbinger for permanent hiring, fell 2,000 after being almost flat in August.

Manufacturing payrolls fell for a second straight month.

Construction employment rose 5,000, benefiting from the rise in home construction, as demand for housing rises against the backdrop of record low mortgage rates

Government payrolls rose 10,000 after increasing 45,000 in August. Average hourly earnings rose 7 cents last month, which could support spending.

Reuters contributed to this report.

The Morning Joe panel continues their discussion about the latest jobs report and argue about whether it's accurate. They also consider a tweet from fmr. GE CEO Jack Welch about the jobs numbers. MSNBCs's Joe Scarborough comments saying, "these numbers just don't add up."

Monday, October 15

Fed open to linking rate hike to economic gauge

By MARTIN CRUTSINGER, Associated Press
(Updated 4:49 p.m. Eastern) WASHINGTON -- The Federal Reserve wants to find a clearer way to signal to the public when it might start raising interest rates.

The Fed has told investors that it plans to keep short-term rates low for at least another three years. But it appears to be leaning toward setting a more specific target, according to minutes from the Fed's last policy meeting.

Most members agreed at the Sept. 12-13 meeting that linking a future rate increase to a level of unemployment or some other numeric target could be useful. The minutes show members have yet to agree on what the economic target should be. But the discussion signals another option the Fed might pursue if its latest stimulus efforts don't do enough to boost the still-weak economy.

After last month's meeting, the Fed said it planned to keep its benchmark short-term rate near zero until mid-2015, six months later than it previously planned. And it left open the possibility of taking other steps.

The Fed also agreed at the meeting to spend $40 billion a month to buy mortgage-backed securities to drive longer-term interest rates lower and boost economic growth.

The Fed has kept the short-term rate at a record low since December 2008. In August 2011, it announced that it planned to keep the rate that low until at least mid-2013. It later extended the target date to late 2014. Last month, it extended it again to mid-2015.

This action has been intended to help the economy by assuring borrowers and investors that loans would remain cheap for years.

Numeric targets now appear to be under consideration to provide additional guidance on future interest-rate moves. But the minutes noted that the Fed would have to reach agreement on what those targets should be.

Charles Evans, president of the Fed's Chicago regional bank, has been the most vocal supporter of the change. He says the Fed should hold off on raising rates until the unemployment rate falls below 7 percent, as long as inflation doesn't exceed 3 percent.

And Narayana Kocherlakota, president of the Minneapolis Fed, said last month that he thought the Fed should pledge to keep rates low until unemployment falls below 5.5 percent — a level Kocherlakota said could take four years or more to achieve.

Some members oppose such moves. They argue that by tying a rate hike to a level of employment, it raises the risk of leaving rates too low for too long, which heightens the threat of inflation.

On Monday, Chairman Ben Bernanke sought to reassure investors about the Fed's timetable for keeping its short-term rate ultra-low. The plan doesn't mean the Fed expects the economy to be weak through 2015, Bernanke said in a speech to the Economic Club of Indiana. Rather, he said policymakers plan to keep rates low well after the economy strengthens.

The minutes also showed that the Fed structured its latest stimulus program around the purchase of mortgage bonds. It did so after members agreed that helping a nascent housing recovery was a good way to lift the broader economy.

Many participants agreed at the meeting that more bond purchases would support the economy by putting downward pressure on longer-term rates. That encourages more borrowing and spending, which drives growth.

According to the minutes, Fed members compared the effectiveness of buying Treasury bonds to that of mortgage-backed securities.

"Some participants suggested that, all else being equal, (mortgage bond) purchases could be preferable because they would more directly support the housing sector, which remains weak but has shown some signs of improvement of late," according to the minutes.

A few members expressed skepticism that additional bond purchases would help while also expressing concerns about inflation.

The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage has been below 4 percent all year. This week the rate fell to a record low of 3.36 percent. While home sales are rising, they remain well below healthy levels.

© 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Sunday, October 14

For many, the road to a job is long, winding

For many, the road to a job is long, winding

Sean Gardner for NBC News

Indelethio Nebeker spent five months chasing one job, only to be disappointed. He works odd jobs intermittently while trying to get the career he wants on track.

In 2008, Marcey Carver lost her job in the finance department of a Vermont car parts maker that closed its doors after the auto industry went into freefall.

With a degree in molecular biology, an MBA and a master's in accounting, Carver, 58, spent the next year and a half working temporary jobs, landing full-time work in October 2009 as finance director for a small non-profit. After 11 months, she was laid off again.

Since then she’s had temporary jobs, but her search for full-time work has run into a major roadblock.

“You can’t get the job you’re qualified for," she said. “But you can’t get a job you’re overqualified for because they think you’re going to quit as soon as you find something else.”

Carver doubts she'll ever land full-time work and now focuses on just making enough money to pay the bills.

Millions of other Americans have come to the same conclusion as the worst economic recovery since World War II has left them sidelined and unable to replace the job they lost to the Great Recession.

Many have given up altogether, left behind by the economy and left out of the government’s employment statistics. In fact, so many people have given up looking for work that the official jobless rate fell to 8.1 percent last month from 8.3 percent, even though the economy is not adding nearly enough jobs to absorb the growth in working-age population.

With the presidential election just weeks away, President Obama and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney squared off Wednesday night in the first of three campaign debates. The discussion focused heavily on which candidate has the better plan to spur the economy and create jobs more quickly.

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report September employment data and is expected to show another month of modest job growth that will leave the unemployment rate little changed.

Nobody knows exactly how many people have given up looking and left the workforce. The BLS monthly household survey has a relatively large margin of error, and the pool of "discouraged workers" is not static – people move in and out of the category from one month to the next.

But the pool is growing. Since last August, the official count of people who have left the work force but still want a job has risen by a half-million, to just over 7 million. That doesn't include the roughly 8 million "underemployed" people with part-time jobs who want full-time work, double the number when the 2007 recession began.

Most of the 86 million people outside the government's official labor force count say they don't want a job. Of the six million who do, here are the reasons they're not included in the monthly tally. (2011 data)

Saturday, October 13

Jobless claims rise slightly, hiring at sluggish pace

CNBC's Rick Santelli breaks down the latest weekly unemployment numbers and discusses its impact on the markets and economy, with CNBC's Steve Liesman.

By NBC News staff and wire reports
The number of Americans filing for jobless benefits rose slightly in the latest week, indicating a labor market that remains in the doldrums.

The Labor Department reported that new claims rose a seasonally-adjusted 4,000 to 367,000, while the four-week moving average, considered a more accurate gauge of labor market conditions, was flat at 375,000.

The data came a day after President Barack Obama and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney squared off in their first debate, which focused mostly on the economy, and a day before the crucial monthly employment report from the government.

The level of jobless claims in the latest week indicates only modest hiring, far below the levels needed to put a dent in the 8.1 percent unemployment rate.

"They are not very inspiring. It is a very marginal reversal of last week's marginal declines. This suggests that the trend is still looking fairly stable. The labor market is improving but it is not really gathering direction for better or worse, it is still just plodding along," said economist Sean Incremona at 4Cast Ltd.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims rising to 370,0000 last week. It was the first time since December last year that the four-week average was unchanged.

A Labor Department official said there were no special factors influencing the report and no states had been estimated.

'Discouraged' workers face tough road back to employmentDespite fears of tighter fiscal policy next January, there is little sign that companies are responding by laying off workers on a wide scale.

Last week's claims data fell outside the survey period for the September employment report, but applications dropped 18,000 from the first week of the month, signaling some improvement in the pace of job creation last month.

Employers are expected to have added 113,000 jobs to their payrolls in September, an increase from 96,000 in August, with the unemployment rate edging up by a tenth of a percentage point to 8.2 percent, according to a Reuters survey of economists.

The anticipated modest improvement in labor market conditions has also been telegraphed by increases in measures of manufacturing and service sector jobs in September. In addition, payrolls processor ADP on Wednesday reported better than expected private sector jobs gains in September.

Worries over the so-called fiscal cliff - automatic tax hikes and government spending cuts that will suck about $600 billion out of the economy next year if lawmakers fail to agree how to slash the budget deficit - are making businesses cautious about ramping up hiring.

The claims report showed the number of people still receiving benefits under regular state programs after an initial week of aid was unchanged at 3.28 million in the week ended September 22. It was the first time since December last year that so-called continuing claims were unchanged.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Friday, October 12

Junk-removal company offers franchises to vets

Junk-removal company offers franchises to vets

Courtesy Jerry Flanagan

Jerry Flanagan poses with a Hummer 2 and cargo trailer emblazoned with the JDog Junk Removal logo and decorations.

By Bill Briggs, NBC News contributor
You might view Jerry Flanagan’s entrepreneurial vision for jobless veterans as junk economics. That’s fine. He certainly sees it that way.

The Army veteran has launched what he says is the first company to offer former service members — and only former service members — a chance to buy one of his fledgling franchises. The business: hauling away people’s unwanted appliances, furniture and other household rubbish. In crude terms, junk removal.

Before you trash his plan, listen to Flanagan’s strategy to tidy up the 10.9 percent unemployment rate that’s been dogging post-Sept. 11 veterans (as compared to the 8.1 percent rate afflicting the rest of the nation in August).

“Offering the franchises only to military veterans gives them the opportunity to know, ‘In this program, I don’t have to compete against this guy who has a college degree or against that guy who just went to business school.’ Right now, these people need a leg up,” said Flanagan, who served in the U.S. Army from 1987 to 1989.

“So many veterans are going to be hitting the work force by 2014. I asked myself, ‘How can we put them back to work?’ They’ll be owning their own businesses and hopefully they’ll be hiring other veterans.”

He calls his enterprise JDog Junk Removal. The tasks, territorial duties, and even the logo are purposely intended to carry a military feel, a welcome-home gift, Flanagan said, for ambitious veterans with at least $15,000 to invest. That’s the cost to buy a franchise.

The fee — plus adequate credit to lease or finance a hauling trailer plus either a green H2 Hummer or Jeep Wrangler Rubicon (the only allowable vehicles, each painted with JDog’s trademarked bulldog emblem plus a local phone number) — puts veterans in the driver’s seat to self-employment, Flanagan said.

“I know there are these guys and women coming back, and if they’re jumping into a big, military-style vehicle, if they have some space, I think it helps with the transition,” Flanagan said.

Each franchisee will be assigned his or her own exclusive market — amid population pockets of at least 75,000 people — as well as a social networking push from corporate headquarters, local leads generated by the company website, and advice on peddling the service to area real estate firms, warehouses, commercial properties, churches and senior living facilities.

“There’s no office, no retail space to lease, and within 90 days, you’re booking jobs,” Flanagan said. “I’ve spent the past 17 months building his concept. But I also wanted to keep it simple. A lot of veterans are going to step right in and follow the system, just like they followed the system in the military every day. Veterans are the best qualified franchisees out there because they’re used to following orders.”

Flanagan saved one niche for disabled veterans: They can buy a franchise and hire one or two muscled-up pals to do the heavy lifting while the veterans run the businesses on their mobile devices.

“The cash flow is immediate because you’re paid on the spot. You go out and do four or five jobs that day, and you average $200 to $300 per job because I’ve structured the margins very well,” he added. “I started studying this (business sector) during the recession — junk removal was one of the few areas that did better after 2008. That’s what drew my attention. There’s junk in every state. There are military veterans in every state.

“We’re getting good feedback from the entire (salvage) industry that once veterans — and active duty members who are about to come home — get their heads around what I’m doing, we’re going to have a large turnout interested in franchises,” added Flanagan, who is based in Wayne, Pa. “I want 300 to 500 of these units up in 10 years. Of course, I could be underselling myself there. We could have 10 just in Long Island. We could have 50 in Texas."

According to the International Franchise Association in Washington, D.C., the only other American franchisor that offers buy-in opportunities solely to former service members is an outfit called Veteran Tech Brigade, which supplies IT services.

Kelly Crigger, co-founder and CEO of Veteran Tech Brigade said, however, that his company is aiming for an 80 percent veteran-owned franchise rate. (Veteran Tech Brigade currently is vetting its first potential franchisees — two veterans, both residing in Florida). The company mainly does government contracting and business-to-business IT consulting.

“But that’s why we started this company — to put a dent in the unemployment rate for veterans,” said Crigger, a retired Army lieutenant colonel who served in Afghanistan. “We have 25 veterans now doing IT consulting.

“Especially when you consider the immense responsibility levels many veterans had while in combat, you would think” scores of companies would be clamoring for their skills, Crigger said. “I remember one guy told me: ‘Over in Iraq, my responsibility was kicking doors in all day, looking for the enemy. But I get back here and I can’t even get a job laying cement’ ”

Thursday, October 11

Buzz: Take this job and shove it (in your dreams)

With the unemployment rate to 8.1 percent, most people have the luxury of leaving their jobs at all, let alone in a dramatic way.

But we can certainly dream.

Prompted a post this week on the dramatic manner, who have said some people "I hear" many readers to confess that they, also a dramatic departure from their place of work - in their minds anyway.

Many readers conceded that their imagination leave includes scenario to win the lottery.

"My dream was always in the lottery win, take over the command of the company intercom and you read my (expletive) list." "Ahhh!"a reader wrote.

Other readers conceded, even though she had dreamed of a grand finale, instead they had settled for an everyday excursion.

"I worked for a church;" The priests have said should be that for lent, I my job was, "Wrote a reader."

Instead, the reader submitted a regular letter of resignation.

An other readers was apparently saved by the temptation dramatically through our history of stop.

"I am glad that I read these lines." "I am my boss to tell what a big idiot he is, on the edge, but get first then tell a better job him, how I feel," wrote another.

Many readers told their real stories about actually leave jobs dramatically, but many others shows booked against burning bridges, no matter how tempting it may be.

"It is possible without losing your professionalism and maturity by the sink to their level to leave." "Why give you more influence them?"a reader wrote.

Wednesday, October 10

Retailers are preparing for holiday rental binge

Retailers are personnel before the holiday shopping season, according to the result of a current survey look that suggests that the industry on stronger sales is betting this year.

The majority of respondents consulting firm Hay Group retailers said they plan to hire the same amount or more seasonal help for the holidays.

About 57 per cent said that she would hold holiday rent at about the same level as in the previous year, while about 36 percent more rent. That's a shift from last year, when about 10 percent of the dealers said that she would hire more workers than in the previous year.

Perhaps even more to say; 43 percent want more permanent and less seasonal workers, suggesting that they feel more confident in consumer demand, even though the holidays are over.

The survey 14 big interviewed U.S. retailers including, Ann, hot topic and chicos FAS about their plans. Although fewer retailers as last year the survey was involved in this year, were the opinions about the holiday season Morse after Maryam, a national reward class teacher at Hay Group retail practice more consistent with one another than in the previous year.

Morse said that the results were "better" than they anticipated that she would be.

Most of the new recruits will be geared to retail stores. I.e. masses up staffing in fulfillment centers, the service online shoppers were a departure from last year, when many retailers are looking to help. But this year only small personnel adjustments where needed. In average about 74% of the seasonal employees are stores and 12 per cent in distribution centers, in Hay Group said.

Another change in comparison to last year involved the timing of actions. Here retailers were more unified again this year on the date of the promotions. About 58 percent of the retailers wait until November to begin their advertising blitz, but 42 percent in October begins. Only a few were off at the earliest in October, which would have occurred in the past year, but 31 percent said that they began their actions this year as in the previous year.

In perhaps another sign of confidence in the American consumers, some retailers - only about 18 per cent - said they felt under pressure used, conform to online-only prices. And about 50% said that they are looking to again the total discount this holiday season tailored.

Retail industry analysts have been this year very cautious with stocks found that retailers are, and keep strict control over the amount of product that they have to hand. This who may feel means to reduce less pressure on prices to move excess product off the shelves.

After Morse this can be also a sign, strategies that work in the current climate to have found retailers.

"The lessons that was during the downturn, that businesses can react quickly to market conditions and consumer preferences," she said. "Now, inventory better, manages the supply chain is effective and retailers have a clear plan for action, to move the goods."

© 2012 CNBC.com

Tuesday, October 9

If you just fit the Office not in

Three and a half years Forbes editors and we merged his dotcom and magazine magazine editors have a dose of culture shock. We have been to the come and go as we pleased. We had just a few sessions. Especially in the ranks of the middle and upper level, we socialize much. The independence and freedom of the place my career at half-time of a nightly TV show where I loved the need at the hip was joined with my colleagues, here I moved.

Well, I suddenly had a larger adjustment to make. The dot dot-commers were a lot more Dick friends pair. Group e-mails flower box constantly around. Announcements come from birthday parties, it seemed every day. That meant that we leave our desk in the afternoon, set in a windowless Conference room and sing some colleagues at the nibbling on cupcakes and sipping cheap champagne. Call me a Curmudgeon, but I detested forced the moments of happiness and collegiality.

This brings me to the subject of this column: what do you do if you notice, they of course your Office culture do not fit?

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My situation was pretty mild. I wanted to not my new colleagues, I liked them, so that I, me forced to show up on a portion of the cupcake happy and made a point about the young or girls best congratulations, offer especially if he or she was on my team to think. I accustomed that faster by the dot com schedule, and I much more meet visited. In addition, the Office culture has moved here since then. We're back to the less sessions, no birthday parties, and more independent.

But for some people, the wrong Office culture can prove really burdensome or even she cost the job.

A customer had worked Anita Attridge, a career coach in New York City as Vice President for a large pharmaceutical company in Europe. The woman had to travel once in a month for three or four exhausting days abroad. Tired and jet lag, prefer the head she refused dinner and drinks invitations first routinely by their European colleagues, back to their hotel and crash. Then she got bad news: she was perceived as a strong leader and was not their role to do part of the team. "she was scared," Attridge said. "she had not good do no idea what it was." It turned out that she makes not only everything in the Office, but also on their commitment to their company to demonstrate, by you with their superiors and colleagues after hours socializing was expected.

"It was to comfort zone do not, in their" Attridge said. But Attridge advised her to socialize itself with the need: "I told her, that go out to dinner as much a part of the job was to make." "It is a job requirement, which is not listed." Attridge also pointed out that a lot of informal, but significant changes hands at social functions of Office information.

Attridge learned about the importance of the Office culture first-hand at one of own first jobs 25 years ago. She worked at the sales staff at Xerox in Rochester, New York. They worked hard all day, and they each form of Office socializing - avoided, until their Manager sat her and asked whether she wanted to have a career at the company. ""He said,"If you do not start, change what you're doing, you're never going to move forward." "He was very explicit." Attridge began to lunch and participation in ongoing remote parties.

Attridge and other career experts agree that job seekers should recognize that Office culture can be just as important as the workload and responsibilities. "It is very important for the culture consider before you start the job," says Sarah Stamboulie, a career coach, had two very different cultures at a crossroads in her own career to confront. Had two job offers, where the atmosphere, formal and detachable down was one of Morgan Stanley and the other to a Japanese insurance company. When she took the insurance place, it, approved says "I, that sooner or later I would say the wrong." She went with Morgan Stanley.

Sometimes an Office culture can so dysfunctional, you find it impossible to do your job. PAM Lassiter, consultant in Boston and author of "the new job security: the 5 best strategies for taking control of your career," a customer had the in business development for a three-year-old energy technology company worked. Managing Director of the company, scared that competitors would steal his ideas an Office culture promoted corroded by fear, suspicion and secrecy. Lassiter client, outgoing and enthusiastic was, felt that funding venture start after a year its own energy so stymied, exit. Lassiter, says, "If the CEO does not, at any time quickly change and your values or practices are different, then you should develop an exit plan."

Culture can make a difference where you can expect at least, Lassiter points out. One of their clients started a cell phone marketing business from home. It has many businesses and a stable income but grew also lonely. Lassiter says, "was not clear how much they enjoyed the camaraderie of the teams, the comfort of the water cooler and the pleasure, informal chat with the same people." The client set up agreements with customers who had their spending longer in Office settings found her, she was much happier.

© 2012 Forbes.com

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