Showing posts with label Business Week. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business Week. Show all posts

Thursday, September 12

Recession now? A third of Americans thinks so

Recession now? A third of Americans thinks so
| By Peter Coy, Bloomberg Businessweek

The National Bureau of Economic Research has declared that the US pulled out of recession more than four years ago, but a lot of people apparently didn’t get the memo.

A third of Americans think the US economy is in a recession or a depression and only one in six think it's growing, says a new survey that also finds "deep-seated pessimism about the medium term."

Americans are highly critical of policymakers, unwilling to take risks with their savings, planning to reduce their indebtedness over the next year, suspicious of the stock market, and more worried about inflation than unemployment, according to the survey released today.

It was sponsored by Absolute Strategy Research, a London firm that does macroeconomic research for institutional clients such as banks. The firm has done surveys with a panel of online respondents each six months since 2009.

The National Bureau of Economic Research has declared that the US pulled out of recession more than four years ago -- in June 2009 -- but a lot of people apparently didn't get the memo.

The survey found that 85% of the 1,000-plus adults worry to some degree about their financial situation, compared with 90% three years ago. People who say they're worse off than they were a year ago outnumber those who say they're better off, 28% to 22%.

Inflation has been well below historical averages and unemployment well above it for the past several years. Nonetheless, "a rise in the cost of living" was respondents' top worry, cited by 26% of respondents, vs. 12% citing unemployment, 11% a drop in income, and 8% taxes.

Who's to blame? The survey asked people about how well unspecified "policymakers" had managed the economy over the past year. Four percent said they'd done a very good job and 11% credited them with a fairly good job. In contrast, 27% said they'd done a "fairly poor" job and 49% -- just under half -- said policymakers had done a "very bad job."

One of the few bits of optimism was on housing. Forty percent of respondents expected housing prices to rise over the next year, vs. only 17% who said so a year ago.

As a cross-section of America, the respondents were far from wealthy on average -- only 52% said they had personal income of more than $40,000, and only 31% said they had more than $40,000 in personal wealth.

Sunday, April 17

EU says need more than $114 billion in help for Portugal

Bremerhaven, Hungary - Europe's top financial officials said Friday that Portugal to euro80 need billions (114 billion dollars) in the rescue loan, but a tense election campaign in which owed land is set, make a deal with opposite to achieve political parties.

A full adjustment programme should instead of may so that owed land around huge bond in June to meet repayments, said the EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn.

Rehn said that the program would have to be agreed by all major political parties, to ensure that it June be implemented after elections, which probably is the opposition to power to heave.

But Portugal's acting Finance Minister Fernando Teixeira dos Santos quickly thwarts hopes of the cooperation between the opposing political forces, say the caretaker Government not directly on the opposition and, which would instead have all calls by the European authorities and led the International Monetary Fund is.

"The negotiations are not the responsibility of Government," said Teixeira dos Santos reporters after a meeting with his colleagues of the European Union in Bremerhaven, a small town outside of Hungary's capital Budapest.

Portugal became the third country in the euro area to international aid, to ask for the last year's multi-billion rescue packages for Greece and Ireland of the EU and the IMF this week.

While a rescue of Portugal had long expected and its can cash easy by are Europe's existing financial return locks meets needs, the country's political situation makes it more difficult to reach a final agreement.

Prime Minister Jose Socrates was late last month after opposition parties rejected unpopular austerity measures and tax increases that said the Government get back were required ailing economy on track.

EU Finance Ministers said Friday that the economic adjustment programme, go accompanied the rescue loan, will have rejected the actions of the opposition.

Rehn urged the various political parties "their great responsibility in overcoming the present difficulties to realize."

Experts of the European Commission and the EU Executive, the European Central Bank and the IMF to Lisbon soon to a close look at the land books, Rehn said added that the euro80 billion loan to "very, very preliminary estimates" is based travel, that a final amount nailing "week or more empirical work."

Each program will be based on strict conditions to securely, that Portugal finally is strong enough to his creditors pay back and will probably last three years, Rehn said.

It is designed not only the reduction of government spending, but also reform measures that Portugal's economy more competitive, said Jean-Claude Juncker, Prime Minister of Luxembourg and the main spokesman for the euro countries require.

On top of that, said a "special allocation" loans most likely coast of Portugal will include banks, Rehn. Portugal banks have heavily awarded to households and firms and to rely on the ECB emergency funding for months.

Rehn added that Lisbon also with "ambitious privatisation program" will need to log on, to comply with their funding.

European officials hope, the help for Portugal will eventually draw a line under the debt crisis that has crippled the continent for more than a year.

"The prevailing opinion in markets is that this step of ring fencing of the three weaker economies of the eurozone and therefore helps to prevent broader contamination", said Klaus Regling, which manages the European financial stability facility, the euro area major bailout funds.

He said will be considered not in the crisis larger countries such as Spain, because financial markets now have a much better understanding of "economic fundamentals in the various Member States of the euro area."

"The danger of infection is much less than six or nine months" added Regling.

As soon as there is a program for Portugal, the EFSF, which should fund bonds rescue loan, can be about ten days, Regling said.

Although fight the bailout request from Portugal some pressure from other euro-zone economies has used such as Spain and Italy, press conference on Friday also referred to the future challenges.

Portugal's Government was not the first in the euro area in the heart of anger over austerity measures to reduce, and doubts grow painful cuts and radical overhaul of the traditional privileges, such as early retirement age and professions accepted about how much longer indebted countries citizens protected.

Greece, who is saved almost one year after roll around in the recession is, get a warning Friday not to fall behind in implementing the reforms, which form part of your program.

"We of the Greek authorities reminded, it is important to maintain the objectives for the public deficit in the next few years," said Juncker journalists.

There are concerns that some of the reforms by Greece of Parliament not in practice be implemented while government revenue below expectations due to the recession and remains widespread tax evasion.

Analysts warn that a loss of political will in hard adjustment programmes keep nor can result in one or several of the most vulnerable members of the eurozone at some of the debt, which in turn would cause problems for banks in larger States and was in a new round of crisis the ring in the default setting.

Copyright 2011, the associated press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or distributed.

Friday, April 15

With Portugal plea hopes Europe crisis included

LONDON - Portugal's request for a bailout could mark at the moment that finally his debt crisis include Europe.

In contrast to previous bailout requirements, Portugal by a chorus of concern on the financial markets be next which country were welcomed. The European Central Bank raised even interest rates on Thursday, when it turned its sights reserves the dangers of the debt crisis for the problem of inflation.

This suggests that after a year of the Summit, faith can political spats and last-minute emergency measures, markets of the bailout of domino effect of be - although analysts warn the crisis has seen false dawns before.

Some had considered already Portugal issues the markets as its borrowing costs more unsustainable, was so the time was the only surprise in the bailout request.

The announcement by Portugal's caretaker Prime Minister Jose Socrates on Wednesday evening limited a torrid few months for the country that had used every tool available to prevent an embarrassing bailout.

The fire-fighting efforts were in vain. A combination of weak growth and high level of debt, there was no alternative to the cave and tap Europe's Rescue Fund.

But while the rescue plans for Greece and Ireland immediately by increasing market pressure on the next point of weakness in the euro zone had been followed, this time not been investors targeted another country, in particular Spain.

"There is little to suggest before that the Portuguese bailout, which become infected since upcoming some time Spain, is", said Sony Kapoor, Managing Director of the international economic think tank new. "Spain is by far a stronger and more dynamic economy."

The euro remained strong, close to 15 months, highs against the dollar at $1.43, mainly thanks to the expectations that the European Central Bank rate increase with further hikes will follow until Thursday in this year.

The answer in bond and stock markets has eased as well been with Spanish borrowing rates in the bond markets largely unchanged and the stock market one of the strongest performers in Europe.

Since the Government debt crisis exploded over a year ago, Spain was bracketed in vulnerable with Greece, Ireland and Portugal as a euro-zone economy.

Mocking French diet lose weight Kate, but expert shutdown issues or abortion? Agree, no one is so that family reminds that U.S. teachers killed in Japan salmonella in water frogs 217, in particular children makes sick are credit score sites committing "fraud"? New destiny for old aircraft carrier - not as reefs

Fears that the debt crisis will inevitably request a bailout end with Spain would raised all sorts of questions about the future of Europe, not least if the euro currency itself could survive such a larger, more expensive rescue mission. These fears pushed the 17 euro countries in action, and they have largely beaten up the details of a bailout of permanent fund.

Spain has moved to protect themselves from speculative attacks in the bond markets at the national level. It has made concerted efforts - yet always inadequate, according - to some analysts, to implement its fragile banking sector, in particular the savings banks, restructuring and tough austerity measures. And it is the cause of public-sector wages and retirement age of 65 control 67 lifted.

If anything, these efforts have bought the country time to convince other markets that it is on the right track to the healing of their public finances. Although its entire debt to about 65 percent of Portugal's national income is less than 90 percent of Spain's annual borrowing is higher and investors want to see proof, which is the budget deficit down. For 2011, the Spanish Government has forecast that it will reduce its budget deficit to 6 percent of GDP by 2010 to 9.2 percent.

"Given the crisis such as in the course of the last years has been, we are fighting to see that the activation of help for Portugal will mark the end of the infection,", said Nick Matthews, senior European Economist at Royal Bank of Scotland. "We are therefore of the view that market confidence will remain countries with high private and public debt at the mercy of another loss."

Although the crisis for now been incorporated, is the euro still suffering the consequences of the debt market turmoil.

Greece, Ireland and Portugal face back years of hardship, to get their public finances in shape and many think they have no choice but to restructure their debts at a given time. This means that they must get governments creditors - especially the big banks in Germany and France - take losses.

The focus will likely Center on the size of the Portuguese financial package and what to do is have the funds land, in return for the resources in the coming days. Minister of finance are euro-zone on Friday in Budapest, Hungary, meet and Portugal's plight illustrates the main topic of discussion.

Discussions on the package - which are most estimates in the markets, that around 80 billion euros ($114 billion) need Portugal - is likely by the fact that Portugal not complicated a Government. Socrates came last month after a parliamentary defeat on additional cost-cutting measures and now serves as caretaker leader.

___

Associated press writers Barry Hatton Lisbon, Portugal, and Daniel Woolls in Madrid contributed to this report.

Copyright 2011, the associated press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or distributed.

Wednesday, February 9

Business Week

Welcome to Business Week website. Here you can find Business Week and Latest Business News.

Site Search