Showing posts with label percent. Show all posts
Showing posts with label percent. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 16

Unemployment rate falls to 7.8 percent

The unemployment rate (red line) fell to its lowest level since January 2009, when President Barack Obama took office.

By NBC News staff and wire reports
UPDATED 9:50 a.m. EDT: The nation's unemployment rate dropped to the lowest it has been in almost four years in September, giving President Barack Obama a potential upbeat talking point as the presidential race heads into the final innings.

The Labor Department reported Friday that the unemployment rate fell to 7.8 percent in September, a decline of 0.3 percentage point and the lowest since January 2009. The government said the economy created 114,000 jobs, about as expected, and generated 86,000 more jobs in July and August than first estimated.

A survey of households from which the jobless rate is derived showed 873,000 job gains last month, the most since June 1983. The drop in unemployment came even as Americans come back into the labor force to resume the hunt for work. The workforce had shrunk in the prior two months. The household survey is volatile, however.

It was the second last report before the November 6 election that pits Obama against Republican Mitt Romney.

"It's a little confusing, to be honest with you. The number of jobs created wasn't that high but the unemployment rate came down and the participation rate went up a little bit, so it's confusing. All in all, it doesn't change the trajectory of what the jobs environment has been really for the last year," said Ron Florance, managing director for investment strategy for Wells Fargo Private Bank.

The two numbers – the unemployment rate and the non-farm payrolls number – come from two separate reports done by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The unemployment report is based on the so-called Household Survey and it measures the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labor force. It is notoriously volatile and economists don’t put much stock in it, even though it often becomes the talking point for non-economists, politicians and pundits. It includes the unemployed who are out there actively seeking work and it excludes people who have left the work force and are not applying for jobs.

The non-farm payrolls number comes from the establishment survey and is considered more accurate.

“The rule of thumb when the two surveys tell different stories is to go with what the establishment survey says. However, the household survey provides reasons to be somewhat more optimistic about job opportunities for American workers,” said Heidi Shierholz, an economist for the liberal-leaning Economic Policy Institute.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Thursday after Wednesday's first presidential debate showed Romney gained ground and is now viewed positively by 51 percent of voters. Obama's favorability rating remained unchanged at 56 percent.

Economists blame the so-called fiscal cliff for the slowdown in business hiring, which has left millions of Americans working either part-time or unemployed and too discouraged to look for jobs.

The Congressional Budget Office has warned that a failure by Congress to avoid the automatic tax hikes and government spending cuts that will suck about $600 billion out of the economy next year would knock the economy back into recession.

"Businesses are not hiring people, they want to wait and see how the election evolves and how the political landscape shapes up," said Sung Won Sohn, an economics professor at California State University Channel Islands in Camarillo, California.

"Everyone has kind of battened down the hatches," Sohn said before the release of the report.

Persistently poor labor market conditions led the Federal Reserve in September to announce a plan to buy $40 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities each month until it sees a sustained turnaround in employment.

The central bank, which also pledged to keep overnight lending rates near zero until at least mid-2015, hopes the purchases drive down long-term borrowing costs and spur the recovery.

The Fed's ultra-easy stance has started to free up credit, giving a lift to consumers, economists said. That, in turn, helped lift retail hiring in September.

Temporary help jobs, which are often seen as a harbinger for permanent hiring, fell 2,000 after being almost flat in August.

Manufacturing payrolls fell for a second straight month.

Construction employment rose 5,000, benefiting from the rise in home construction, as demand for housing rises against the backdrop of record low mortgage rates

Government payrolls rose 10,000 after increasing 45,000 in August. Average hourly earnings rose 7 cents last month, which could support spending.

Reuters contributed to this report.

The Morning Joe panel continues their discussion about the latest jobs report and argue about whether it's accurate. They also consider a tweet from fmr. GE CEO Jack Welch about the jobs numbers. MSNBCs's Joe Scarborough comments saying, "these numbers just don't add up."

Friday, November 18

Euro zone inflation stays at 3 percent, could delay rate cut

AppId is over the quota
AppId is over the quota
BRUSSELS — Euro zone inflation was surprisingly high at 3.0 percent for a second straight month in October, the EU announced on Monday, prompting economists to postpone their bets for a central bank rate cut until December.

With Europe's economy cooling, economists had forecast consumer price inflation would fall after reaching a three-year high in September. But high food and oil prices and tax hikes in Italy kept it at the same level.

"It looks a bit like stagflation with negative growth and high inflation," said Peter Vanden Houte, an economist at ING. "That's not positive news."

In a first reading of inflation for the month, the European Union's statistics agency Eurostat said inflation was 3.0 percent in October, compared to a 2.9 percent forecast by a Reuters poll of economists.

Economists had expected the European Central Bank to raise rates as soon as this week to support Europe's economy, as evidence mounts that the region's debt crisis is sapping business confidence and raising the specter of recession.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development slashed its 2012 growth forecast for the euro area to 0.3 percent from 2.0 percent in May.

Underscoring that, Eurostat said the jobless rate in the euro zone rose slightly to 10.2 percent in September from a revised 10.1 percent in August, nudged up by Spain, where unemployment reached 22.6 percent.

But stubbornly high inflation, above the Frankfurt-based central bank's target of close to, but under, 2 percent, is making a rate cut call much more difficult.

"We think interest rates will be on hold this week but we're expecting a rate reduction in December," said Nick Kounis, an economist at ABN AMRO.

Crude oil prices in euro terms were still around a third higher than in the same month last year. ING forecasts that if they continue at current levels, their impact on inflation will not dissipate until March.

MARIO'S MOMENT?

Adding to the cloudy outlook, Mario Draghi takes over as ECB president on Tuesday and may not feel comfortable lowering rates at his first meeting on Thursday, particularly with inflation more than a percentage point above target.

As an Italian at the helm of the ECB, Draghi will arguably be under more scrutiny from skeptical investors worried that a southern European might be less disciplined.

Last week Draghi warned of "a further weakening in growth prospects" but German members of the ECB's Governing Council remain focused on fighting inflation, partly driven by German folk memories of the hyperinflation the 1920s.

German council member Juergen Stark said on October 26 that interest rates at their current level were "adequate."

"The latest euro zone inflation and unemployment data might leave the hawks at the ECB concerned about underlying price pressures," said Jennifer McKeown, an economist at Capital Economics. "The rate has now been above the ECB's 2 percent price stability ceiling for 11 months running, perhaps suggesting that high inflation is becoming entrenched."

Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for restrictions.

Friday, June 3

Search engine Yandex to 55 percent on debut

By Clare Baldwin and Megan Davies

NEW YORK (Reuters) - shares of Yandex NV, known as "Russia's Google," rose by 55 percent in their trading debut, evidence for some investors, that Internet companies have strong prospects and a confirmation for others got the market before himself.


Demand for Yandex was strong-a source said that investors wanted, 17 times as many as Yandex to buy shares and the owner made available. There are however some investor concerns that IPO are reviews for Internet companies higher than justify their earnings prospects.


Moreover, it might a rush of less able, companies that fall on the same kind of investor demand, causing the dot com boom operated in the late 1990s.


Shares of Yandex, the largest Internet IPO Google Inc almost seven years ago the United States rose by 55 percent to $38.84 at close of trading on the NASDAQ.


"Google is a great company, but we are better," co-founder and Chief Technology Officer Ilya Segalovich, 46 of told of Reuters after the debut of the company, with a smile. "We are very focused on doing what we do and the focus is technology and are looking for."


The IPO comes a week after social networking specialist company LinkedIn stock exchange went. More than the share price of the company on its first day of trade doubled investors.


There is also such as Wall Street speculated if social networks Facebook and Twitter will go public. Yandex IPO provided more evidence that Internet companies are again sharp.


"I think sure that investors have put caution on the back burner," said IPOfinancial.com President David Menlow. "There is an idea that we are in a new bull market in the context of technology stocks" is added that it is a strong appetite for social networking companies.


"Yes I believe that we mentality are in the direction of a bubble in this sector," Menlow said. But he added that investors "something would be more demanding with what they their money behind set and has not any technology, this kind of reception will receive the files."


Yandex $1.3 billion raised in your initial public offering, sale of 52.2 million shares for $25. It estimated the company about $8 billion. Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank Securities and Goldman Sachs & co led the consortium banks on the offer.


"To date, Yandex has good growth, and I think that they will in the future," said IPOdesktop.com President Francis Gaskins. "Investors are hungry for growth everywhere where they can get it, either Russia or elsewhere."


Trip Chowdhry, analyst at global equities research, said however that he thinks Yandex's foundations strong are but, that the review is not.


"It is very clearly the investors about which names are crazy because they think that it is a new Google." This is wrong thinking. Yandex will be not global. They nothing shown have not, which convinced me, that they have a range of Russian geographical boundaries, "Chowdhry said."


Yandex has not decided how to use the money in the IPO, but it is important, large cash balances, as well as the company's rival, Segalovich said. "All of our competitors have piles of cash-huge pile - and we must be prepared, for (all) kinds of things,", said Segalovich.


Yandex's business model is powered by online advertising. In the year 2010 earnings increased by 90 percent to 3.8 billion rubles ($ 134 million) on sales which rose by 43 percent to 12.5 billion roubles ($ 441,3 million).


Analysts say that the search engine of Segalovich and co-founder Arkady Volozh, 47, Google, developed a competitive advantage over has because it is better equipped to handle the grammatical complexity of the Russian language.


For the company to grow it must defend now its market share 22 percent in the Russian search, 65 percent against Google.


GOLDEN SHARE


The investment is a boom for Yandex's private-equity investors. Baring Vostok Capital Partners in Yandex in 2000, when it generated revenue of only $72,000 and lost US$ 2 million bought.


The original fund investment Yandex estimated at $15 million, which means that the float - the company to more than this level values 500 times.


Investors buying in Yandex's IPO will receive class A shares, the only one-tenth of the voting power shares of class B, the insiders in the business are preserved.


Also a golden shares owned Sberbank, the State-controlled Russian Bank, could be used to make sure that each individual investors buy votes on the Yandex of more than 25 percent.


Contribute Segalovich and Volozh that when students met, said the IPO would Russia on the map as the birthplace of a global technology company.


"Russia is famous for its resources" Volozh said in an interview. "Russia has also a lot of talent..." So far, there are not many technology companies... that would work for the whole world. "We believe that the scientific culture of Russia so strongly that sooner or later as a company is displayed."


He said Segalovich, and celebrate Volozh IPO would meet investor flight back to Russia from New York to a punishment of two and a half weeks.


"(We've_been) session investors... to explain what Yandex (is)... it's real is or not, it's fake?," said Segalovich. "No, it is not wrong, there are real people..." "You can touch."


(Additional Alina Selyukh and Jennifer Saba;) (Editing by Robert MacMillan, Derek Caney and Steve Orlofsky)


Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters.

Friday, March 11

Cuba cigar sales by 2 percent in the past year reports

HAVANA - exclusive seller and exporter of Cuban cigars Monday said that sales of the island coveted smokes rose recovering 2% in 2010, easily after a fall for two straight years amid the global economic crisis.

Were $ 368 million revenues last year Habanos SA Vice President Javier Terres reporter, until 2009 told US$ 360 million a year.

"We are moderately satisfied" Terres said Festival on the opening day of the 13th International cigars.

It is included the first positive growth in two years, but still down significantly from $402 million in 2007. Sales decreased 3 and 8% respectively in 2008 and 2009.

Also sales tell company officials by increasingly strong anti-smoking regulations in Spain, no. 1 market for the premium Cuban cigars are hand-rolled been injured.

Recently a law makes illegal 2 adopt, Jan. to light up in the European nation tapas bars, restaurants, discos, casinos, airports and even some outdoor areas.

However, Terres Spain said the top buyers in 2010, followed by France and China replaced Germany as the third largest importer.

In Latin America that largest cigar result came in Cuba - mainly from the sale to tourists, followed by Brazil and Mexico.

Washington's half century old trade embargo prevents that Cuban cigars being sold in the United States

Terres, officials said sales similar to its expected this year.

He added that the company is working to develop potential markets in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, and intends, further "Casas del Habano" or "Cigar houses," open where the aromatic Stogies lovers can sample.

There are currently 142 "Casas" around the world.

Habanos SA made its first public recognition also Monday a corruption investigation, the four top executives last year. The probe long been the subject of rumors that increased recently as the designation of origin a new Cuban Vice President of the company.

Marketing Director Ana Lopez said the case is ongoing and no conclusions were reached.

"We do not think that this (the image of the company) has influenced." We continue with the same effort ", said Lopez.

Habanos SA, a joint enterprise consisting of British-owned, Madrid-based Altadis and Cuban State company Habanos S.a., sold 27 premium brands including Cohiba and Montecristo.

More than 1,000 people from 80 countries, including tobacco executives and experts expected the cigar Festival, which runs through Jan. 25.

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