Health insurance will become more affordable for many and mandatory for most this year.
The long-awaited affordability features of the Affordable Care Act are finally ready for prime time in 2014, along with the Obamacare requirement that virtually all Americans must have health insurance or face a penalty.
Major provisions of President Barack Obama's health reform law, from its subsidies for lower-income applicants to its expansion of Medicaid, finally take center stage.
"Many Americans will start to learn what tax credits and cost-sharing subsidies they're eligible for and the vast benefits of the law," predicts Dania Palanker, senior counsel for the National Women's Law Center in Washington, D.C. "Not only will they have insurance, they'll have insurance they can afford to use."
And yes, like an episode of "Downton Abbey," there are certain to be surprises along the way.
"The other side of getting health insurance at an affordable price with a pre-existing condition is, the young will pay a higher price for their good health and age," says Michael Morrisey, a professor of health economics at the University of Alabama at Birmingham. "When that sticker shock hits, it's probably going to be a big topic for the first half of 2014."
Here are the top six Obamacare plot twists sure to make headlines in 2014:
The spotlight finally shifts to the star of the Affordable Care Act: affordable health care.
If your income qualifies you for assistance, the law can help bring down the cost of your family's health coverage in two key ways:
By providing an advance tax credit to lower your monthly insurance premiums. By offering out-of-pocket subsidies to help you pay your insurance deductibles, copayments and coinsurance.
The premium tax credits are available at incomes between 100 percent and 400 percent of the federal poverty level, or roughly $11,500-$46,000 for individuals or $23,500-$94,000 for a family of four. You must purchase coverage through your state Obamacare exchange to qualify.
"These tax credit subsidies are provided on a sliding scale, meaning that those people who need help the most get the largest help," says Ron Pollack, executive director of the health care consumer group Families USA.
To qualify for the out-of-pocket subsidies, your household income must be below $59,000 for a family of four or $29,000 for individuals, and you must enroll in a silver (mid-level) health plan through your state's health exchange. The online exchange also can tell if you qualify for free or low-cost coverage under Medicaid.
Under health reform's "individual mandate," most Americans who don't have health coverage by March 31 will be assessed a penalty against their federal income tax for 2014.
The uninsured will be penalized the greater of 1 percent of their annual household income or the oft-cited $95 per person (and $47.50 per child under 18), to a family cap of $285.
Those per-person penalties jump to the greater of 2 percent of income or $325 in 2015, and the greater of 2.5 percent of income or $695 by 2016.
Morrisey says the uninsured middle class is more likely to feel the sting of the individual mandate than lower income groups.
"At $95 a year, the penalty is no big deal," he says. "But at 2.5 percent of income in 2016, if you're making $60,000 a year, the penalty is more than $100 a month. That's money that could be going toward insurance."
Douglas Hough, associate director of the Bloomberg School of Public Health at Johns Hopkins University, says the mandate's aim of herding everyone into the insurance pool is long overdue.
"It truly is revolutionary," he says.
Americans with pre-existing health conditions and women of all ages will have something momentous to toast for the New Year: equal treatment from health insurers.
Health insurance companies can no longer deny you coverage, charge you more, cancel your policy or exclude benefits because you have a life-threatening or chronic health condition. The provision applies to all but "grandfathered" plans that were in effect prior to the Affordable Care Act.
In addition, Obamacare prohibits insurance companies from charging women higher health insurance rates than men or denying them coverage because of health conditions such as pregnancy or cancer.
Don't cry for the insurers, says Morrisey. After all, they'll soon have millions of new policyholders to help absorb the added expense.
"Young, healthy people will pay a higher price to help insure the older and sicker," he says.
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